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運動·Mbappé

Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?

icon for Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?
運動·Mbappé

Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?

9% 機率
Polymarket
最新
9% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé leaves Real Madrid at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes resignation, termination, joining another club (whether by permanent transfer or loan), or any other scenario in which he is no longer serving as a player of Real Madrid. A loan to another club constitutes leaving for the purposes of this market, even if Mbappé remains under contract with Real Madrid. If a departure is officially announced or agreed upon before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when the move formally takes effect or is registered. If Kylian Mbappé is placed on temporary or medical leave but remains officially a Real Madrid player through August 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Real Madrid or Kylian Mbappé. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Real Madrid’s firm stance against any summer exit for Kylian Mbappé underpins the market’s 91.5% implied probability that he remains beyond August 31. The forward is contracted until 2029, and transfer sources confirm the club has no intention of selling despite a recent injury layoff, a three-game winless La Liga run, and reported dressing-room friction with Vinícius Júnior. Mbappé has publicly reaffirmed his commitment, and while fan petitions demanding his departure have gained traction amid inconsistent team results, Real Madrid’s hierarchy continues to back the 27-year-old goal-scorer. These factors combine to limit realistic departure scenarios before the transfer window closes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé leaves Real Madrid at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes resignation, termination, joining another club (whether by permanent transfer or loan), or any other scenario in which he is no longer serving as a player of Real Madrid. A loan to another club constitutes leaving for the purposes of this market, even if Mbappé remains under contract with Real Madrid.

If a departure is officially announced or agreed upon before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when the move formally takes effect or is registered.

If Kylian Mbappé is placed on temporary or medical leave but remains officially a Real Madrid player through August 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Real Madrid or Kylian Mbappé. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$6,926
結束日期
2026-08-31
市場開放時間
May 7, 2026, 2:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé leaves Real Madrid at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes resignation, termination, joining another club (whether by permanent transfer or loan), or any other scenario in which he is no longer serving as a player of Real Madrid. A loan to another club constitutes leaving for the purposes of this market, even if Mbappé remains under contract with Real Madrid. If a departure is officially announced or agreed upon before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when the move formally takes effect or is registered. If Kylian Mbappé is placed on temporary or medical leave but remains officially a Real Madrid player through August 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Real Madrid or Kylian Mbappé. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé leaves Real Madrid at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes resignation, termination, joining another club (whether by permanent transfer or loan), or any other scenario in which he is no longer serving as a player of Real Madrid. A loan to another club constitutes leaving for the purposes of this market, even if Mbappé remains under contract with Real Madrid. If a departure is officially announced or agreed upon before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when the move formally takes effect or is registered. If Kylian Mbappé is placed on temporary or medical leave but remains officially a Real Madrid player through August 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Real Madrid or Kylian Mbappé. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Real Madrid’s firm stance against any summer exit for Kylian Mbappé underpins the market’s 91.5% implied probability that he remains beyond August 31. The forward is contracted until 2029, and transfer sources confirm the club has no intention of selling despite a recent injury layoff, a three-game winless La Liga run, and reported dressing-room friction with Vinícius Júnior. Mbappé has publicly reaffirmed his commitment, and while fan petitions demanding his departure have gained traction amid inconsistent team results, Real Madrid’s hierarchy continues to back the 27-year-old goal-scorer. These factors combine to limit realistic departure scenarios before the transfer window closes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé leaves Real Madrid at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes resignation, termination, joining another club (whether by permanent transfer or loan), or any other scenario in which he is no longer serving as a player of Real Madrid. A loan to another club constitutes leaving for the purposes of this market, even if Mbappé remains under contract with Real Madrid.

If a departure is officially announced or agreed upon before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when the move formally takes effect or is registered.

If Kylian Mbappé is placed on temporary or medical leave but remains officially a Real Madrid player through August 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Real Madrid or Kylian Mbappé. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$6,926
結束日期
2026-08-31
市場開放時間
May 7, 2026, 2:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé leaves Real Madrid at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes resignation, termination, joining another club (whether by permanent transfer or loan), or any other scenario in which he is no longer serving as a player of Real Madrid. A loan to another club constitutes leaving for the purposes of this market, even if Mbappé remains under contract with Real Madrid. If a departure is officially announced or agreed upon before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when the move formally takes effect or is registered. If Kylian Mbappé is placed on temporary or medical leave but remains officially a Real Madrid player through August 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Real Madrid or Kylian Mbappé. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 9% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 9¢, the market collectively assigns a 9% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?" is 9% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 9% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.