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運動·FIFA世界杯

梅西和羅納爾多會在世界盃期間握手嗎？

icon for 梅西和羅納爾多會在世界盃期間握手嗎？
運動·FIFA世界杯

梅西和羅納爾多會在世界盃期間握手嗎？

35% 機率
Polymarket
最新
35% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo are observed physically shaking hands with one another at any point during the 2026 FIFA World Cup window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The 'handshake' must occur while the listed players are on the pitch or the bench area; handshakes in the locker room or other areas will not count. This can occur before, during, or after the match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no qualifying handshake can be confirmed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match footage and broadcast video; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The enduring rivalry between Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo, marked by decades of club and international competition without close personal rapport, underpins trader consensus favoring no handshake at 70% implied probability. Historical encounters, including documented refusals in high-stakes matches, reflect a pattern of minimal off-field interaction despite mutual respect on the pitch. With both players set for record sixth World Cup appearances in 2026—potentially their final major tournament—the bracket's structure and individual team paths add uncertainty around any direct meeting. Recent form and national team preparations emphasize competitive focus over gestures, aligning with market pricing that views a cordial exchange as unlikely amid the tournament's intensity.

This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo are observed physically shaking hands with one another at any point during the 2026 FIFA World Cup window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The 'handshake' must occur while the listed players are on the pitch or the bench area; handshakes in the locker room or other areas will not count. This can occur before, during, or after the match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no qualifying handshake can be confirmed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official match footage and broadcast video; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$205
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jun 10, 2026, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo are observed physically shaking hands with one another at any point during the 2026 FIFA World Cup window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The 'handshake' must occur while the listed players are on the pitch or the bench area; handshakes in the locker room or other areas will not count. This can occur before, during, or after the match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no qualifying handshake can be confirmed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match footage and broadcast video; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo are observed physically shaking hands with one another at any point during the 2026 FIFA World Cup window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The 'handshake' must occur while the listed players are on the pitch or the bench area; handshakes in the locker room or other areas will not count. This can occur before, during, or after the match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no qualifying handshake can be confirmed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match footage and broadcast video; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The enduring rivalry between Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo, marked by decades of club and international competition without close personal rapport, underpins trader consensus favoring no handshake at 70% implied probability. Historical encounters, including documented refusals in high-stakes matches, reflect a pattern of minimal off-field interaction despite mutual respect on the pitch. With both players set for record sixth World Cup appearances in 2026—potentially their final major tournament—the bracket's structure and individual team paths add uncertainty around any direct meeting. Recent form and national team preparations emphasize competitive focus over gestures, aligning with market pricing that views a cordial exchange as unlikely amid the tournament's intensity.

This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo are observed physically shaking hands with one another at any point during the 2026 FIFA World Cup window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The 'handshake' must occur while the listed players are on the pitch or the bench area; handshakes in the locker room or other areas will not count. This can occur before, during, or after the match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no qualifying handshake can be confirmed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official match footage and broadcast video; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$205
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jun 10, 2026, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo are observed physically shaking hands with one another at any point during the 2026 FIFA World Cup window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The 'handshake' must occur while the listed players are on the pitch or the bench area; handshakes in the locker room or other areas will not count. This can occur before, during, or after the match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no qualifying handshake can be confirmed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match footage and broadcast video; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"梅西和羅納爾多會在世界盃期間握手嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 30% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 30¢, the market collectively assigns a 30% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"梅西和羅納爾多會在世界盃期間握手嗎？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "梅西和羅納爾多會在世界盃期間握手嗎？," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "梅西和羅納爾多會在世界盃期間握手嗎？" is 30% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 30% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "梅西和羅納爾多會在世界盃期間握手嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.