Recent polling and seat projections for Quebec’s October 5 provincial election show the Parti Québécois leading with roughly 28-29% support and an expected plurality or minority government, while the Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec solidaire account for the remaining viable vote shares. The Parti Vert du Québec registers negligible support in published surveys and receives no projected seats under current models, reflecting its limited organizational reach and historical inability to secure National Assembly representation under the first-past-the-post system. Trader consensus at 97% against a PVQ seat reflects these entrenched patterns and the absence of any recent catalyst capable of shifting voter preferences toward the Greens before election day. Late developments such as an unforeseen surge in environmental-issue salience or coordinated strategic voting in a single riding remain theoretically possible but lack supporting evidence in available data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於3% 機率
最新
最新
2026-10-05
3% 機率
最新
最新
2026-10-05
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti vert du Québec (PVQ) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling and seat projections for Quebec’s October 5 provincial election show the Parti Québécois leading with roughly 28-29% support and an expected plurality or minority government, while the Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec solidaire account for the remaining viable vote shares. The Parti Vert du Québec registers negligible support in published surveys and receives no projected seats under current models, reflecting its limited organizational reach and historical inability to secure National Assembly representation under the first-past-the-post system. Trader consensus at 97% against a PVQ seat reflects these entrenched patterns and the absence of any recent catalyst capable of shifting voter preferences toward the Greens before election day. Late developments such as an unforeseen surge in environmental-issue salience or coordinated strategic voting in a single riding remain theoretically possible but lack supporting evidence in available data.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti vert du Québec (PVQ) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti vert du Québec (PVQ) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 3:43 PM ET
交易量
$843結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:43 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti vert du Québec (PVQ) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling and seat projections for Quebec’s October 5 provincial election show the Parti Québécois leading with roughly 28-29% support and an expected plurality or minority government, while the Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec solidaire account for the remaining viable vote shares. The Parti Vert du Québec registers negligible support in published surveys and receives no projected seats under current models, reflecting its limited organizational reach and historical inability to secure National Assembly representation under the first-past-the-post system. Trader consensus at 97% against a PVQ seat reflects these entrenched patterns and the absence of any recent catalyst capable of shifting voter preferences toward the Greens before election day. Late developments such as an unforeseen surge in environmental-issue salience or coordinated strategic voting in a single riding remain theoretically possible but lack supporting evidence in available data.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti vert du Québec (PVQ) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti vert du Québec (PVQ) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$843結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:43 PM ETRecent polling and seat projections for Quebec’s October 5 provincial election show the Parti Québécois leading with roughly 28-29% support and an expected plurality or minority government, while the Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec solidaire account for the remaining viable vote shares. The Parti Vert du Québec registers negligible support in published surveys and receives no projected seats under current models, reflecting its limited organizational reach and historical inability to secure National Assembly representation under the first-past-the-post system. Trader consensus at 97% against a PVQ seat reflects these entrenched patterns and the absence of any recent catalyst capable of shifting voter preferences toward the Greens before election day. Late developments such as an unforeseen surge in environmental-issue salience or coordinated strategic voting in a single riding remain theoretically possible but lack supporting evidence in available data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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