The tight clustering of implied probabilities among a wide field of attackers underscores the open competition for the 2026 World Cup Bronze Boot, where no single player holds a decisive edge. Leading options such as Erling Haaland and Cody Gakpo sit near the top due to their proven finishing for high-powered national sides, while others including Bukayo Saka, Raphinha, Harry Kane, and Lautaro Martínez benefit from strong team contexts, recent international form, and favorable early schedules. This bunched pricing captures trader consensus on the inherent variability of goal tallies, which hinge on collective results, playing time in knockout rounds, and potential for late surges, leaving ample room for multiple realistic paths to third place in the scoring charts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於World Cup: Bronze Boot Winner
Julián Álvarez 14%
Lamine Yamal 7%
Vinícius Jr. 7%
Mikel Oyarzabal 6%
Julián Álvarez
22%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Vinícius Jr.
11%
Mikel Oyarzabal
23%
Álvaro Morata
1%
Richarlison
1%
Kylian Mbappé
34%
Harry Kane
34%
Lionel Messi
34%
Erling Haaland
37%
Ousmane Dembélé
-
Cristiano Ronaldo
35%
Lautaro Martínez
34%
Nick Woltemade
34%
Romelu Lukaku
-
Ferran Torres
33%
Raphinha
34%
Cody Gakpo
36%
Bukayo Saka
35%
Jude Bellingham
34%
Julián Álvarez 14%
Lamine Yamal 7%
Vinícius Jr. 7%
Mikel Oyarzabal 6%
Julián Álvarez
22%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Vinícius Jr.
11%
Mikel Oyarzabal
23%
Álvaro Morata
1%
Richarlison
1%
Kylian Mbappé
34%
Harry Kane
34%
Lionel Messi
34%
Erling Haaland
37%
Ousmane Dembélé
-
Cristiano Ronaldo
35%
Lautaro Martínez
34%
Nick Woltemade
34%
Romelu Lukaku
-
Ferran Torres
33%
Raphinha
34%
Cody Gakpo
36%
Bukayo Saka
35%
Jude Bellingham
34%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jun 3, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering of implied probabilities among a wide field of attackers underscores the open competition for the 2026 World Cup Bronze Boot, where no single player holds a decisive edge. Leading options such as Erling Haaland and Cody Gakpo sit near the top due to their proven finishing for high-powered national sides, while others including Bukayo Saka, Raphinha, Harry Kane, and Lautaro Martínez benefit from strong team contexts, recent international form, and favorable early schedules. This bunched pricing captures trader consensus on the inherent variability of goal tallies, which hinge on collective results, playing time in knockout rounds, and potential for late surges, leaving ample room for multiple realistic paths to third place in the scoring charts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions