The 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage remains in its opening days, leaving multiple UEFA contenders with realistic paths to deep knockout runs and keeping trader consensus tightly clustered. Spain, France, and England enter as the strongest options based on recent form, FIFA rankings, and squad depth, while Portugal, Germany, and the Netherlands sit close behind with solid recent results and manageable group draws. Early match outcomes, including strong starts from Germany and Sweden, have yet to separate the field decisively, and factors such as rest, travel across North American venues, and potential injuries could still shift momentum. The balanced distribution of implied probabilities reflects this open competition among established European powers rather than any single standout.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於France 36%
Spain 18%
England 14%
Netherlands 13%
$38,776 交易量
$38,776 交易量
France
32%
Spain
18%
England
14%
Netherlands
16%
Portugal
9%
Germany
8%
Switzerland
5%
Norway
4%
Croatia
3%
Belgium
2%
Austria
2%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Scotland
<1%
France 36%
Spain 18%
England 14%
Netherlands 13%
$38,776 交易量
$38,776 交易量
France
32%
Spain
18%
England
14%
Netherlands
16%
Portugal
9%
Germany
8%
Switzerland
5%
Norway
4%
Croatia
3%
Belgium
2%
Austria
2%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Scotland
<1%
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who recorded more total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who scores more total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who conceded fewer goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which nation advanced the furthest during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who recorded more total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who scores more total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who conceded fewer goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which nation advanced the furthest during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage remains in its opening days, leaving multiple UEFA contenders with realistic paths to deep knockout runs and keeping trader consensus tightly clustered. Spain, France, and England enter as the strongest options based on recent form, FIFA rankings, and squad depth, while Portugal, Germany, and the Netherlands sit close behind with solid recent results and manageable group draws. Early match outcomes, including strong starts from Germany and Sweden, have yet to separate the field decisively, and factors such as rest, travel across North American venues, and potential injuries could still shift momentum. The balanced distribution of implied probabilities reflects this open competition among established European powers rather than any single standout.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions