The closely bunched implied probabilities for World Cup Group D winner reflect a balanced group stage matchup among co-host USA, rising Türkiye, defensively stout Paraguay, and experienced Australia. USA edges ahead in trader consensus thanks to home-soil advantage across U.S. venues and Mauricio Pochettino’s squad depth, though recent friendly results showed vulnerability in attack and defense. Türkiye sits just behind on the strength of UEFA play-off momentum, young attacking talent led by Arda Güler, and a solid qualifying campaign that signals genuine contender status. Paraguay’s low-scoring but hard-to-break-down style and Australia’s proven knockout resilience further compress the field, ensuring any slip in form or key injury could rapidly shift group standings and advancement odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於美國 39%
土耳其 38%
巴拉圭 18%
澳大利亞 9.7%
$386,692 交易量
$386,692 交易量
美國
39%
土耳其
38%
巴拉圭
18%
澳大利亞
10%
美國 39%
土耳其 38%
巴拉圭 18%
澳大利亞 9.7%
$386,692 交易量
$386,692 交易量
美國
39%
土耳其
38%
巴拉圭
18%
澳大利亞
10%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The closely bunched implied probabilities for World Cup Group D winner reflect a balanced group stage matchup among co-host USA, rising Türkiye, defensively stout Paraguay, and experienced Australia. USA edges ahead in trader consensus thanks to home-soil advantage across U.S. venues and Mauricio Pochettino’s squad depth, though recent friendly results showed vulnerability in attack and defense. Türkiye sits just behind on the strength of UEFA play-off momentum, young attacking talent led by Arda Güler, and a solid qualifying campaign that signals genuine contender status. Paraguay’s low-scoring but hard-to-break-down style and Australia’s proven knockout resilience further compress the field, ensuring any slip in form or key injury could rapidly shift group standings and advancement odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions