France's status as the outright favorite to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup at around +400 underpins Group I's 22.5% implied probability, reflecting the squad's depth, Kylian Mbappé's form, and a dominant group-stage opener. Spain's unexpected draw against Cape Verde has tempered Group H's appeal despite La Roja's Euro pedigree and Lamine Yamal's influence, while England's consistency and Croatia's experience support Group L. Portugal and Argentina anchor their respective groups amid solid pre-tournament positioning. "Other" leads at 50% as traders price in broader paths to the title through unlisted or lower-seeded groups, with early results and roster health continuing to shape consensus ahead of knockout stages.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Group I (Senegal, Norway, France, Iraq) 25%
Group J (Algeria, Jordan, Argentina, Austria) 22%
Group H (Cape Verde, Uruguay, Spain, Saudi Arabia) 12%
Group L (England, Ghana, Croatia, Panama) 11%
$18,554 交易量
$18,554 交易量
2026-07-20
Group I (Senegal, Norway, France, Iraq)
25%
Group J (Algeria, Jordan, Argentina, Austria)
22%
Group H (Cape Verde, Uruguay, Spain, Saudi Arabia)
12%
Group L (England, Ghana, Croatia, Panama)
11%
Group A (Mexico, South Korea, South Africa, Czechia)
9%
Group K (Colombia, Congo DR, Portugal, Uzbekistan)
8%
Group C (Scotland, Brazil, Haiti, Morocco)
7%
Group F (Tunisia, Japan, Netherlands, Sweden)
6%
Group E (Curaçao, Ecuador, Germany, Ivory Coast)
5%
Group D (Paraguay, Türkiye, USA, Australia)
3%
Group G (New Zealand, Iran, Egypt, Belgium)
3%
Group B (Canada, Qatar, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Switzerland)
1%
Group I (Senegal, Norway, France, Iraq) 25%
Group J (Algeria, Jordan, Argentina, Austria) 22%
Group H (Cape Verde, Uruguay, Spain, Saudi Arabia) 12%
Group L (England, Ghana, Croatia, Panama) 11%
$18,554 交易量
$18,554 交易量
2026-07-20
Group I (Senegal, Norway, France, Iraq)
$2,865 交易量
25%
Group J (Algeria, Jordan, Argentina, Austria)
$5,479 交易量
22%
Group H (Cape Verde, Uruguay, Spain, Saudi Arabia)
$2,111 交易量
12%
Group L (England, Ghana, Croatia, Panama)
$4,161 交易量
11%
Group A (Mexico, South Korea, South Africa, Czechia)
$161 交易量
9%
Group K (Colombia, Congo DR, Portugal, Uzbekistan)
$830 交易量
8%
Group C (Scotland, Brazil, Haiti, Morocco)
$889 交易量
7%
Group F (Tunisia, Japan, Netherlands, Sweden)
$763 交易量
6%
Group E (Curaçao, Ecuador, Germany, Ivory Coast)
$632 交易量
5%
Group D (Paraguay, Türkiye, USA, Australia)
$188 交易量
3%
Group G (New Zealand, Iran, Egypt, Belgium)
$127 交易量
3%
Group B (Canada, Qatar, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Switzerland)
$347 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the group from which the winning national team of the 2026 FIFA World Cup originated in the group stage. For example, if a team drawn into Group A wins the tournament, this market will resolve to “Group A”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's status as the outright favorite to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup at around +400 underpins Group I's 22.5% implied probability, reflecting the squad's depth, Kylian Mbappé's form, and a dominant group-stage opener. Spain's unexpected draw against Cape Verde has tempered Group H's appeal despite La Roja's Euro pedigree and Lamine Yamal's influence, while England's consistency and Croatia's experience support Group L. Portugal and Argentina anchor their respective groups amid solid pre-tournament positioning. "Other" leads at 50% as traders price in broader paths to the title through unlisted or lower-seeded groups, with early results and roster health continuing to shape consensus ahead of knockout stages.
This market will resolve according to the group from which the winning national team of the 2026 FIFA World Cup originated in the group stage. For example, if a team drawn into Group A wins the tournament, this market will resolve to “Group A”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jun 5, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
交易量
$18,554結束日期
2026-07-20市場開放時間
Jun 5, 2026, 3:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the group from which the winning national team of the 2026 FIFA World Cup originated in the group stage. For example, if a team drawn into Group A wins the tournament, this market will resolve to “Group A”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's status as the outright favorite to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup at around +400 underpins Group I's 22.5% implied probability, reflecting the squad's depth, Kylian Mbappé's form, and a dominant group-stage opener. Spain's unexpected draw against Cape Verde has tempered Group H's appeal despite La Roja's Euro pedigree and Lamine Yamal's influence, while England's consistency and Croatia's experience support Group L. Portugal and Argentina anchor their respective groups amid solid pre-tournament positioning. "Other" leads at 50% as traders price in broader paths to the title through unlisted or lower-seeded groups, with early results and roster health continuing to shape consensus ahead of knockout stages.
This market will resolve according to the group from which the winning national team of the 2026 FIFA World Cup originated in the group stage. For example, if a team drawn into Group A wins the tournament, this market will resolve to “Group A”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$18,554結束日期
2026-07-20市場開放時間
Jun 5, 2026, 3:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...France's status as the outright favorite to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup at around +400 underpins Group I's 22.5% implied probability, reflecting the squad's depth, Kylian Mbappé's form, and a dominant group-stage opener. Spain's unexpected draw against Cape Verde has tempered Group H's appeal despite La Roja's Euro pedigree and Lamine Yamal's influence, while England's consistency and Croatia's experience support Group L. Portugal and Argentina anchor their respective groups amid solid pre-tournament positioning. "Other" leads at 50% as traders price in broader paths to the title through unlisted or lower-seeded groups, with early results and roster health continuing to shape consensus ahead of knockout stages.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions