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運動·足球

世界盃：國家隊進入準決賽

icon for 世界盃：國家隊進入準決賽
運動·足球

世界盃：國家隊進入準決賽

$1,106,110 交易量

2026-07-13
Polymarket

$1,106,110 交易量

Polymarket

Iran

$3,688 交易量

<1%

Egypt

$3,469 交易量

4%

Canada

$14,953 交易量

4%

Morocco

$37,849 交易量

10%

Norway

$48,856 交易量

15%

Colombia

$25,307 交易量

20%

Japan

$76,499 交易量

8%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$28,713 交易量

2%

Brazil

$31,398 交易量

29%

Australia

$17,201 交易量

2%

Paraguay

$6,506 交易量

1%

Netherlands

$25,337 交易量

23%

Ecuador

$14,780 交易量

7%

Ghana

$4,367 交易量

3%

Belgium

$4,140 交易量

11%

France

$68,838 交易量

52%

Argentina

$120,567 交易量

60%

Austria

$11,424 交易量

2%

Croatia

$19,024 交易量

6%

DR Congo

$5,019 交易量

1%

Germany

$13,555 交易量

19%

Algeria

$2,604 交易量

2%

Portugal

$39,960 交易量

25%

Mexico

$53,540 交易量

16%

Switzerland

$17,855 交易量

7%

Sweden

$13,146 交易量

2%

Spain

$40,512 交易量

48%

South Korea

$19,495 交易量

<1%

Ivory Coast

$19,299 交易量

3%

Uzbekistan

$4,628 交易量

<1%

USA

$91,794 交易量

18%

Cape Verde

$9,120 交易量

2%

Senegal

$11,714 交易量

3%

South Africa

$1,665 交易量

1%

England

$53,141 交易量

37%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup format, with 12 groups feeding a 32-team knockout stage and two bracket pathways separating top seeds, shapes trader views on semifinal qualifiers. Spain, France, England, Argentina, Brazil, Portugal, and Germany lead implied probabilities due to deep squads, strong FIFA rankings, and favorable group draws featuring teams like Uruguay, Senegal, and Algeria. Early group-stage results, including Mexico's opening win and South Korea's victory, provide limited signals while highlighting co-host dynamics and rest advantages heading into the Round of 32. Key variables include injury updates to stars like Lamine Yamal or Lionel Messi, historical semifinal experience, and potential upsets from sides advancing as top third-place teams.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,106,110
結束日期
2026-07-13
市場開放時間
Jun 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup format, with 12 groups feeding a 32-team knockout stage and two bracket pathways separating top seeds, shapes trader views on semifinal qualifiers. Spain, France, England, Argentina, Brazil, Portugal, and Germany lead implied probabilities due to deep squads, strong FIFA rankings, and favorable group draws featuring teams like Uruguay, Senegal, and Algeria. Early group-stage results, including Mexico's opening win and South Korea's victory, provide limited signals while highlighting co-host dynamics and rest advantages heading into the Round of 32. Key variables include injury updates to stars like Lamine Yamal or Lionel Messi, historical semifinal experience, and potential upsets from sides advancing as top third-place teams.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,106,110
結束日期
2026-07-13
市場開放時間
Jun 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"世界盃：國家隊進入準決賽" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 48+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Argentina" at 60%, followed by "France" at 52%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "世界盃：國家隊進入準決賽" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "世界盃：國家隊進入準決賽," browse the 48+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "世界盃：國家隊進入準決賽" is "Argentina" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 52%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "世界盃：國家隊進入準決賽" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.