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大法官 預測與賠率

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2026年下任英國財政大臣?

2026年下任英國財政大臣?

33%

埃德·米利班德

$5.1K 交易量

$41.3K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

弗裏德裏希·梅爾茲( Friedrich Merz )在2027年之前擔任德國總理?

弗裏德裏希·梅爾茲( Friedrich Merz )在2027年之前擔任德國總理?

17%

$298K 交易量

$45.6K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

CDU/CSU–SPD德國聯邦聯盟會在2027年之前破裂嗎?

CDU/CSU–SPD德國聯邦聯盟會在2027年之前破裂嗎?

16%

$65.2K 交易量

$15.2K Liq.

4

Ends 6 個月內

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

71%

50

$21.0K 交易量

$1.8K Liq.

2

Ends 6 個月內

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

22%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$14.5K Liq.

135

Ends 6 個月內

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

2%

June 30

$168K 交易量

$4.3K Liq.

10

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

19%

$13.4K 交易量

$4.7K Liq.

4

Ends 6 個月內

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in June 2026?

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in June 2026?

18%

↓ $192

$122K 交易量

$28.7K Liq.

Ends 9 天內

White House # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

White House # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

89%

180-199

$45.4K 交易量

$14.8K Liq.

Ends 1 天內

White House # posts June 23 - June 30, 2026?

White House # posts June 23 - June 30, 2026?

38%

200+

$7.5K 交易量

$40.4K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

45%

Marco Rubio

$3.6K 交易量

$15.3K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

White House # posts June 19 - June 26, 2026?

White House # posts June 19 - June 26, 2026?

48%

180-199

$13.6K 交易量

$26.5K Liq.

Ends 4 天內

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

95%

$21.8K 交易量

$2.1K Liq.

1

Ends 6 個月內

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

40%

$13.9K 交易量

$5.2K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

11%

$8.7K 交易量

$9.7K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 30

$21.8K 交易量

$456 Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

7%

$521K 交易量

$47.2K Liq.

5

Ends 6 個月內

Kash Patel out by...?

Kash Patel out by...?

52%

December 31

$1M 交易量

$56.9K Liq.

134

What price will Solana hit in June?

What price will Solana hit in June?

7%

↓ 60

$2M 交易量

$482K Liq.

Ends 9 天內

What will Keir Starmer say during his resignation announcement?

What will Keir Starmer say during his resignation announcement?

98%

Labour

$549 交易量

$1.6K Liq.

2

Ends 3 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “弗裏德裏希·梅爾茲( Friedrich Merz )在2027年之前擔任德國總理?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 22% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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