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政治·伊朗停火

JD萬斯會在…前訪問巴基斯坦嗎？

icon for JD萬斯會在…前訪問巴基斯坦嗎？
政治·伊朗停火

JD萬斯會在…前訪問巴基斯坦嗎？

$136,224 交易量

2026-05-31
Polymarket

$136,224 交易量

Polymarket

May 31

$23,495 交易量

14%

If JD Vance visits Pakistan by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vance physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Vance enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Vice President JD Vance visited Pakistan on April 11, 2026, arriving in Islamabad to lead high-stakes US-Iran peace talks mediated by Pakistani hosts, accompanied by envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner. The negotiations concluded without agreement after roughly 21 hours, prompting Vance's departure and remarks on expecting positive outcomes despite setbacks. Follow-up trip plans around April 20–21 were postponed due to Iranian hesitancy, ceasefire extensions, and White House scheduling. No further visits have occurred in the past 30 days, with Vance stating on May 9 that Indo-Pak conflicts remain outside US interests. Traders should watch for Middle East escalation signals or diplomatic breakthroughs that could prompt renewed summits in Pakistan before any resolution deadline.

If JD Vance visits Pakistan by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vance physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Vance enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$136,224
市場開放時間
Apr 29, 2026, 5:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If JD Vance visits Pakistan by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vance physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Vance enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If JD Vance visits Pakistan by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vance physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Vance enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Vice President JD Vance visited Pakistan on April 11, 2026, arriving in Islamabad to lead high-stakes US-Iran peace talks mediated by Pakistani hosts, accompanied by envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner. The negotiations concluded without agreement after roughly 21 hours, prompting Vance's departure and remarks on expecting positive outcomes despite setbacks. Follow-up trip plans around April 20–21 were postponed due to Iranian hesitancy, ceasefire extensions, and White House scheduling. No further visits have occurred in the past 30 days, with Vance stating on May 9 that Indo-Pak conflicts remain outside US interests. Traders should watch for Middle East escalation signals or diplomatic breakthroughs that could prompt renewed summits in Pakistan before any resolution deadline.

If JD Vance visits Pakistan by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vance physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Vance enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$136,224
市場開放時間
Apr 29, 2026, 5:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If JD Vance visits Pakistan by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vance physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Vance enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"JD萬斯會在…前訪問巴基斯坦嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "May 31" at 14%, followed by "4月22日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "JD萬斯會在…前訪問巴基斯坦嗎？" has generated $136.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "JD萬斯會在…前訪問巴基斯坦嗎？," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "JD萬斯會在…前訪問巴基斯坦嗎？" is "May 31" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "4月22日" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "JD萬斯會在…前訪問巴基斯坦嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.