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icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Elections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Elections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$148,326 交易量

2027-04-17
Polymarket

$148,326 交易量

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$6,705 交易量

96%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$10,209 交易量

85%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$5,180 交易量

84%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$2,377 交易量

84%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$2,751 交易量

76%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$6,695 交易量

75%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$2,615 交易量

69%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$5,085 交易量

53%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$576 交易量

59%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$5,251 交易量

51%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$5,801 交易量

42%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$4,623 交易量

41%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$1,342 交易量

34%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$979 交易量

34%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$4,681 交易量

30%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$2,257 交易量

26%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$4,322 交易量

20%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$3,638 交易量

17%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$2,881 交易量

17%

icon for Matthieu Pigasse

Matthieu Pigasse

$10,076 交易量

13%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$3,175 交易量

10%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$350 交易量

10%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$2,539 交易量

10%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$2,250 交易量

9%

icon for Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$1,417 交易量

9%

icon for Philippe de Villiers

Philippe de Villiers

$2,385 交易量

9%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$1,265 交易量

9%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$1,756 交易量

8%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$1,637 交易量

8%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$1,742 交易量

8%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$2,842 交易量

7%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$559 交易量

7%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$2,727 交易量

7%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$1,557 交易量

7%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$4,748 交易量

6%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$743 交易量

6%

icon for Bally Bagayoko

Bally Bagayoko

$1,258 交易量

4%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,576 交易量

4%

icon for Manuel Valls

Manuel Valls

$972 交易量

4%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$19,686 交易量

4%

icon for Teddy Riner

Teddy Riner

$352 交易量

3%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$478 交易量

3%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$850 交易量

3%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$345 交易量

3%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$970 交易量

2%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$2,102 交易量

2%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling at around 32-34 percent and is widely viewed as the frontrunner for his party's nomination, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his La France Insoumise candidacy in early May and appears likely to qualify.** Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also declared, splitting the center-right and Macronist vote, and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April. Marine Le Pen's July 7 appeal against her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban remains the key near-term catalyst that could determine whether Bardella or Le Pen represents the far right. A fragmented left, including an October primary, raises the bar for additional qualifiers, and traders weigh these developments against the need for 500 elected signatures and party consolidation ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$148,326
结束日期
2027-04-17
市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling at around 32-34 percent and is widely viewed as the frontrunner for his party's nomination, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his La France Insoumise candidacy in early May and appears likely to qualify.** Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also declared, splitting the center-right and Macronist vote, and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April. Marine Le Pen's July 7 appeal against her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban remains the key near-term catalyst that could determine whether Bardella or Le Pen represents the far right. A fragmented left, including an October primary, raises the bar for additional qualifiers, and traders weigh these developments against the need for 500 elected signatures and party consolidation ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$148,326
结束日期
2027-04-17
市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 46+ 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Jean-Luc Mélenchon"，概率为 96%，其次是"Édouard Philippe"，概率为 85%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 96¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 96%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?"已产生 $148.3K 的总交易量（自Apr 22, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 46+ 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?"的当前领先者是"Jean-Luc Mélenchon"，概率为 96%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 96%。紧随其后的结果是"Édouard Philippe"，概率为 85%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。