**Trader sentiment in the Argentina official USD exchange rate market for end-2026 centers on the BCRA’s managed crawl and disinflation trajectory under the Milei administration.** The peso has traded near 1,510–1,535 recently, with the Relevamiento de Expectativas de Mercado (REM) consensus projecting a wholesale rate around 1,630 by December—implying roughly 10–12% annual depreciation. This path aligns with the 49% probability assigned to sub-1,600 and 34% for the 1,600–1,699 bracket. Supporting factors include fiscal surpluses, monthly inflation falling below 2%, BCRA reserve purchases exceeding targets, and an indexed exchange-rate band that ties crawl adjustments to lagged CPI. Analyst ranges span 1,500–1,850, but the tight clustering around 1,600–1,650 reflects confidence in policy continuity and limited near-term volatility ahead of the final quarter.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$21,958 交易量
$21,958 交易量
2026-12-30
<1600.00
50%
1600.00–1699.99
34%
1700.00–1799.99
9%
1800.00–1899.99
6%
1900.00–1999.99
16%
2000.00以上
4%
$21,958 交易量
$21,958 交易量
2026-12-30
<1600.00
$2,475 交易量
50%
1600.00–1699.99
$2,030 交易量
34%
1700.00–1799.99
$2,203 交易量
9%
1800.00–1899.99
$1,702 交易量
6%
1900.00–1999.99
$11,772 交易量
16%
2000.00以上
$1,777 交易量
4%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Trader sentiment in the Argentina official USD exchange rate market for end-2026 centers on the BCRA’s managed crawl and disinflation trajectory under the Milei administration.** The peso has traded near 1,510–1,535 recently, with the Relevamiento de Expectativas de Mercado (REM) consensus projecting a wholesale rate around 1,630 by December—implying roughly 10–12% annual depreciation. This path aligns with the 49% probability assigned to sub-1,600 and 34% for the 1,600–1,699 bracket.
Supporting factors include fiscal surpluses, monthly inflation falling below 2%, BCRA reserve purchases exceeding targets, and an indexed exchange-rate band that ties crawl adjustments to lagged CPI. Analyst ranges span 1,500–1,850, but the tight clustering around 1,600–1,650 reflects confidence in policy continuity and limited near-term volatility ahead of the final quarter.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$21,958结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETThis is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Trader sentiment in the Argentina official USD exchange rate market for end-2026 centers on the BCRA’s managed crawl and disinflation trajectory under the Milei administration.** The peso has traded near 1,510–1,535 recently, with the Relevamiento de Expectativas de Mercado (REM) consensus projecting a wholesale rate around 1,630 by December—implying roughly 10–12% annual depreciation. This path aligns with the 49% probability assigned to sub-1,600 and 34% for the 1,600–1,699 bracket.
Supporting factors include fiscal surpluses, monthly inflation falling below 2%, BCRA reserve purchases exceeding targets, and an indexed exchange-rate band that ties crawl adjustments to lagged CPI. Analyst ranges span 1,500–1,850, but the tight clustering around 1,600–1,650 reflects confidence in policy continuity and limited near-term volatility ahead of the final quarter.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$21,958结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET**Trader sentiment in the Argentina official USD exchange rate market for end-2026 centers on the BCRA’s managed crawl and disinflation trajectory under the Milei administration.** The peso has traded near 1,510–1,535 recently, with the Relevamiento de Expectativas de Mercado (REM) consensus projecting a wholesale rate around 1,630 by December—implying roughly 10–12% annual depreciation. This path aligns with the 49% probability assigned to sub-1,600 and 34% for the 1,600–1,699 bracket. Supporting factors include fiscal surpluses, monthly inflation falling below 2%, BCRA reserve purchases exceeding targets, and an indexed exchange-rate band that ties crawl adjustments to lagged CPI. Analyst ranges span 1,500–1,850, but the tight clustering around 1,600–1,650 reflects confidence in policy continuity and limited near-term volatility ahead of the final quarter.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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