Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate, currently near 1,510–1,515 following modest monthly depreciation under the BCRA’s inflation-indexed crawling band, reflects President Milei’s emphasis on a strong peso to anchor disinflation. Interventions via dollar-linked instruments and futures have limited spot depreciation to roughly 3.7% year-to-date despite 21.3% cumulative inflation through August, keeping the rate well below the band ceiling near 1,900. Analyst forecasts have converged on levels around 1,600–1,630 by December 2026, aligning with the market’s 73.5% implied probability on 1,600+, while tighter fiscal targets and IMF-supported reserve accumulation reinforce expectations of continued gradual adjustment rather than sharp moves.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1600.00以上 78%
1500.00–1549.99 16.6%
1550.00–1599.99 16.5%
1450.00–1499.99 4.5%
$11,028 交易量
$11,028 交易量
2026-12-30
小于1250.00
3%
1250.00–1299.99
2%
1300.00–1349.99
3%
1350.00–1399.99
3%
1400.00–1449.99
4%
1450.00–1499.99
5%
1500.00–1549.99
11%
1550.00–1599.99
14%
1600.00以上
73%
1600.00以上 78%
1500.00–1549.99 16.6%
1550.00–1599.99 16.5%
1450.00–1499.99 4.5%
$11,028 交易量
$11,028 交易量
2026-12-30
小于1250.00
$608 交易量
3%
1250.00–1299.99
$1,024 交易量
2%
1300.00–1349.99
$893 交易量
3%
1350.00–1399.99
$978 交易量
3%
1400.00–1449.99
$1,316 交易量
4%
1450.00–1499.99
$1,546 交易量
5%
1500.00–1549.99
$1,417 交易量
11%
1550.00–1599.99
$825 交易量
14%
1600.00以上
$2,421 交易量
73%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate, currently near 1,510–1,515 following modest monthly depreciation under the BCRA’s inflation-indexed crawling band, reflects President Milei’s emphasis on a strong peso to anchor disinflation. Interventions via dollar-linked instruments and futures have limited spot depreciation to roughly 3.7% year-to-date despite 21.3% cumulative inflation through August, keeping the rate well below the band ceiling near 1,900. Analyst forecasts have converged on levels around 1,600–1,630 by December 2026, aligning with the market’s 73.5% implied probability on 1,600+, while tighter fiscal targets and IMF-supported reserve accumulation reinforce expectations of continued gradual adjustment rather than sharp moves.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
交易量
$11,028结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETThis is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate, currently near 1,510–1,515 following modest monthly depreciation under the BCRA’s inflation-indexed crawling band, reflects President Milei’s emphasis on a strong peso to anchor disinflation. Interventions via dollar-linked instruments and futures have limited spot depreciation to roughly 3.7% year-to-date despite 21.3% cumulative inflation through August, keeping the rate well below the band ceiling near 1,900. Analyst forecasts have converged on levels around 1,600–1,630 by December 2026, aligning with the market’s 73.5% implied probability on 1,600+, while tighter fiscal targets and IMF-supported reserve accumulation reinforce expectations of continued gradual adjustment rather than sharp moves.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$11,028结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETArgentina’s official USD/ARS rate, currently near 1,510–1,515 following modest monthly depreciation under the BCRA’s inflation-indexed crawling band, reflects President Milei’s emphasis on a strong peso to anchor disinflation. Interventions via dollar-linked instruments and futures have limited spot depreciation to roughly 3.7% year-to-date despite 21.3% cumulative inflation through August, keeping the rate well below the band ceiling near 1,900. Analyst forecasts have converged on levels around 1,600–1,630 by December 2026, aligning with the market’s 73.5% implied probability on 1,600+, while tighter fiscal targets and IMF-supported reserve accumulation reinforce expectations of continued gradual adjustment rather than sharp moves.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题