Traders assign an implied 79.8 percent probability to a 25 basis point Bank of Japan rate increase at the June 15-16 meeting, reflecting the central bank’s hawkish April 27-28 decision that produced a 6-3 split with three members favoring an immediate hike to 1.00 percent. The May 12 summary of opinions highlighted upside inflation risks from Middle East energy shocks and persistent yen weakness near 157 against the dollar, prompting economists in a recent Reuters poll to project the policy rate reaching 1.00 percent by end-June. Downgraded growth forecasts and geopolitical uncertainty support the 19.5 percent odds of no change, while larger hikes or cuts remain marginal. Market pricing will likely respond to the upcoming May inflation release and any further yen intervention signals ahead of the June resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于上调25个基点 79.8%
未变 20%
上调50个基点以上 1.2%
降息 <1%
$115,192 交易量
$115,192 交易量
2026-06-16
降息
1%
未变
20%
上调25个基点
80%
上调50个基点以上
1%
上调25个基点 79.8%
未变 20%
上调50个基点以上 1.2%
降息 <1%
$115,192 交易量
$115,192 交易量
2026-06-16
降息
$34,145 交易量
1%
未变
$29,089 交易量
20%
上调25个基点
$27,591 交易量
80%
上调50个基点以上
$24,367 交易量
1%
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders assign an implied 79.8 percent probability to a 25 basis point Bank of Japan rate increase at the June 15-16 meeting, reflecting the central bank’s hawkish April 27-28 decision that produced a 6-3 split with three members favoring an immediate hike to 1.00 percent. The May 12 summary of opinions highlighted upside inflation risks from Middle East energy shocks and persistent yen weakness near 157 against the dollar, prompting economists in a recent Reuters poll to project the policy rate reaching 1.00 percent by end-June. Downgraded growth forecasts and geopolitical uncertainty support the 19.5 percent odds of no change, while larger hikes or cuts remain marginal. Market pricing will likely respond to the upcoming May inflation release and any further yen intervention signals ahead of the June resolution.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Mar 19, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
交易量
$115,192结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 7:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders assign an implied 79.8 percent probability to a 25 basis point Bank of Japan rate increase at the June 15-16 meeting, reflecting the central bank’s hawkish April 27-28 decision that produced a 6-3 split with three members favoring an immediate hike to 1.00 percent. The May 12 summary of opinions highlighted upside inflation risks from Middle East energy shocks and persistent yen weakness near 157 against the dollar, prompting economists in a recent Reuters poll to project the policy rate reaching 1.00 percent by end-June. Downgraded growth forecasts and geopolitical uncertainty support the 19.5 percent odds of no change, while larger hikes or cuts remain marginal. Market pricing will likely respond to the upcoming May inflation release and any further yen intervention signals ahead of the June resolution.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$115,192结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 7:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign an implied 79.8 percent probability to a 25 basis point Bank of Japan rate increase at the June 15-16 meeting, reflecting the central bank’s hawkish April 27-28 decision that produced a 6-3 split with three members favoring an immediate hike to 1.00 percent. The May 12 summary of opinions highlighted upside inflation risks from Middle East energy shocks and persistent yen weakness near 157 against the dollar, prompting economists in a recent Reuters poll to project the policy rate reaching 1.00 percent by end-June. Downgraded growth forecasts and geopolitical uncertainty support the 19.5 percent odds of no change, while larger hikes or cuts remain marginal. Market pricing will likely respond to the upcoming May inflation release and any further yen intervention signals ahead of the June resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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