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icon for California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

icon for California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

5% 概率
Polymarket
最新
5% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The tight legislative calendar in California, combined with AB 2624’s current position in the Assembly Appropriations Committee after a May 14 do-pass vote, makes enactment by June 30 highly unlikely. The measure, which expands the Safe at Home address-confidentiality program to immigration support providers and restricts certain online disclosures, still requires full Assembly and Senate approval plus the governor’s signature. Republican opposition, centered on free-speech concerns and potential limits on public scrutiny of service providers, has drawn attention but has not altered the procedural path. With fewer than six weeks remaining before the deadline, the compressed timeline and standard bicameral process explain the market’s strong consensus against the bill becoming law on schedule.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$460
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The tight legislative calendar in California, combined with AB 2624’s current position in the Assembly Appropriations Committee after a May 14 do-pass vote, makes enactment by June 30 highly unlikely. The measure, which expands the Safe at Home address-confidentiality program to immigration support providers and restricts certain online disclosures, still requires full Assembly and Senate approval plus the governor’s signature. Republican opposition, centered on free-speech concerns and potential limits on public scrutiny of service providers, has drawn attention but has not altered the procedural path. With fewer than six weeks remaining before the deadline, the compressed timeline and standard bicameral process explain the market’s strong consensus against the bill becoming law on schedule.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$460
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 5%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 5¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 5%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Apr 16, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?"上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?"的当前概率为 5%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 5%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

"California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。