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icon for 加文·纽森( Gavin Newsom )是否会宣布由……担任总统?

加文·纽森( Gavin Newsom )是否会宣布由……担任总统?

icon for 加文·纽森( Gavin Newsom )是否会宣布由……担任总统?

加文·纽森( Gavin Newsom )是否会宣布由……担任总统?

$80,759 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$80,759 交易量

Polymarket

2026年12月31日

$49,024 交易量

13%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Gavin Newsom has signaled openness to a 2028 presidential bid while deferring any formal announcement until after the 2026 midterm elections, when his second term as California governor ends due to term limits. In late 2025 interviews he acknowledged he would give the race serious consideration, and early 2026 book-tour appearances positioned him as a leading Democratic voice critical of the current administration. Recent developments include continued national media outreach and party fundraising, though no public timeline for a declaration has been set. Traders are therefore focused on whether accelerating early-state travel, polling trends among Democratic voters, or post-midterm positioning will prompt an earlier announcement before key 2027 filing deadlines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$80,759
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Oct 27, 2025, 1:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Gavin Newsom has signaled openness to a 2028 presidential bid while deferring any formal announcement until after the 2026 midterm elections, when his second term as California governor ends due to term limits. In late 2025 interviews he acknowledged he would give the race serious consideration, and early 2026 book-tour appearances positioned him as a leading Democratic voice critical of the current administration. Recent developments include continued national media outreach and party fundraising, though no public timeline for a declaration has been set. Traders are therefore focused on whether accelerating early-state travel, polling trends among Democratic voters, or post-midterm positioning will prompt an earlier announcement before key 2027 filing deadlines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$80,759
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Oct 27, 2025, 1:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"加文·纽森( Gavin Newsom )是否会宣布由……担任总统?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"2026年12月31日",概率为 13%,其次是"2025年12月31日",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 13¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 13%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"加文·纽森( Gavin Newsom )是否会宣布由……担任总统?"已产生 $80.8K 的总交易量(自Oct 27, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"加文·纽森( Gavin Newsom )是否会宣布由……担任总统?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"加文·纽森( Gavin Newsom )是否会宣布由……担任总统?"的当前领先者是"2026年12月31日",概率为 13%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 13%。紧随其后的结果是"2025年12月31日",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"加文·纽森( Gavin Newsom )是否会宣布由……担任总统?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。