Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact leads recent polls with 37–44% support ahead of Colombia’s May 31 first-round vote, positioning him as the clear frontrunner for a runoff while remaining short of the 50% threshold needed for outright victory. The contest for second place has narrowed to right-wing contenders Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia of the Democratic Centre, with the former holding a modest edge in the latest surveys as voters consolidate behind established conservative options. Recent controversies surrounding de la Espriella’s public remarks have highlighted divisions within the right, yet they have not shifted the overall polling trajectory. Trader pricing reflects this dynamic, with the de la Espriella–Cepeda pairing viewed as the most probable runoff pairing given current momentum and the absence of major late shifts from centrist candidates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 78%
1st Round Outright Winner 11.1%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 10%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%
最新
最新
2026-05-31
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
78%
1st Round Outright Winner
11%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
10%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
<1%
Other
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 78%
1st Round Outright Winner 11.1%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 10%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%
最新
最新
2026-05-31
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
$3,535 交易量
78%
1st Round Outright Winner
$1,811 交易量
11%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
$2,278 交易量
10%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
$1,304 交易量
<1%
Other
$1,031 交易量
<1%
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact leads recent polls with 37–44% support ahead of Colombia’s May 31 first-round vote, positioning him as the clear frontrunner for a runoff while remaining short of the 50% threshold needed for outright victory. The contest for second place has narrowed to right-wing contenders Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia of the Democratic Centre, with the former holding a modest edge in the latest surveys as voters consolidate behind established conservative options. Recent controversies surrounding de la Espriella’s public remarks have highlighted divisions within the right, yet they have not shifted the overall polling trajectory. Trader pricing reflects this dynamic, with the de la Espriella–Cepeda pairing viewed as the most probable runoff pairing given current momentum and the absence of major late shifts from centrist candidates.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
交易量
$9,960结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact leads recent polls with 37–44% support ahead of Colombia’s May 31 first-round vote, positioning him as the clear frontrunner for a runoff while remaining short of the 50% threshold needed for outright victory. The contest for second place has narrowed to right-wing contenders Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia of the Democratic Centre, with the former holding a modest edge in the latest surveys as voters consolidate behind established conservative options. Recent controversies surrounding de la Espriella’s public remarks have highlighted divisions within the right, yet they have not shifted the overall polling trajectory. Trader pricing reflects this dynamic, with the de la Espriella–Cepeda pairing viewed as the most probable runoff pairing given current momentum and the absence of major late shifts from centrist candidates.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$9,960结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact leads recent polls with 37–44% support ahead of Colombia’s May 31 first-round vote, positioning him as the clear frontrunner for a runoff while remaining short of the 50% threshold needed for outright victory. The contest for second place has narrowed to right-wing contenders Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia of the Democratic Centre, with the former holding a modest edge in the latest surveys as voters consolidate behind established conservative options. Recent controversies surrounding de la Espriella’s public remarks have highlighted divisions within the right, yet they have not shifted the overall polling trajectory. Trader pricing reflects this dynamic, with the de la Espriella–Cepeda pairing viewed as the most probable runoff pairing given current momentum and the absence of major late shifts from centrist candidates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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