Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz following U.S.-Iran military actions in late February 2026, have sharply tightened global crude supplies and driven recent price surges. Production shut-ins by major exporters such as Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and the UAE, combined with attacks on infrastructure, have reduced flows through the vital chokepoint and prompted inventory draws worldwide. OPEC has lowered its 2026 demand growth forecast amid these disruptions while noting potential supply adjustments. Traders are monitoring any easing of blockades, diplomatic progress toward reopening shipping lanes, or releases from strategic reserves, as these factors could influence whether benchmark prices test or exceed prior peaks before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$246,758 交易量
2026-06-30
May 31
3%
June 30
14%
September 30
36%
December 31
45%
$246,758 交易量
May 31
$166,869 交易量
3%
June 30
$20,697 交易量
14%
September 30
$34,004 交易量
36%
December 31
$25,188 交易量
45%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz following U.S.-Iran military actions in late February 2026, have sharply tightened global crude supplies and driven recent price surges. Production shut-ins by major exporters such as Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and the UAE, combined with attacks on infrastructure, have reduced flows through the vital chokepoint and prompted inventory draws worldwide. OPEC has lowered its 2026 demand growth forecast amid these disruptions while noting potential supply adjustments. Traders are monitoring any easing of blockades, diplomatic progress toward reopening shipping lanes, or releases from strategic reserves, as these factors could influence whether benchmark prices test or exceed prior peaks before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市场开放时间： Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
交易量
$246,758结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz following U.S.-Iran military actions in late February 2026, have sharply tightened global crude supplies and driven recent price surges. Production shut-ins by major exporters such as Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and the UAE, combined with attacks on infrastructure, have reduced flows through the vital chokepoint and prompted inventory draws worldwide. OPEC has lowered its 2026 demand growth forecast amid these disruptions while noting potential supply adjustments. Traders are monitoring any easing of blockades, diplomatic progress toward reopening shipping lanes, or releases from strategic reserves, as these factors could influence whether benchmark prices test or exceed prior peaks before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
交易量
$246,758结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz following U.S.-Iran military actions in late February 2026, have sharply tightened global crude supplies and driven recent price surges. Production shut-ins by major exporters such as Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and the UAE, combined with attacks on infrastructure, have reduced flows through the vital chokepoint and prompted inventory draws worldwide. OPEC has lowered its 2026 demand growth forecast amid these disruptions while noting potential supply adjustments. Traders are monitoring any easing of blockades, diplomatic progress toward reopening shipping lanes, or releases from strategic reserves, as these factors could influence whether benchmark prices test or exceed prior peaks before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题