Elon Musk's elevated posting pace on X throughout mid-May has solidified trader expectations around the 65-89 tweet range for the May 16-18 window. Frequent replies to breaking news, platform feature updates, and cultural debates have driven consistent volume, with recent activity on topics like Grok capabilities and public controversies accelerating the count. Historical patterns show Musk often sustains 20-plus daily posts during active periods, making this band the clear frontrunner at an 87% implied probability. The market's tight clustering around these figures reflects traders' assessment of his typical engagement rhythm, with minimal upside risk for outlier spikes unless major events intervene before the period closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于65-89 90%
90-114 4.9%
40-64 5%
115-139 <1%
$1,083,439 交易量
$1,083,439 交易量
2026-05-18
少于40条
<1%
40-64
5%
65-89
90%
90-114
5%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 90%
90-114 4.9%
40-64 5%
115-139 <1%
$1,083,439 交易量
$1,083,439 交易量
2026-05-18
少于40条
$345,987 交易量
<1%
40-64
$150,947 交易量
5%
65-89
$121,666 交易量
90%
90-114
$166,730 交易量
5%
115-139
$117,109 交易量
<1%
140-164
$67,406 交易量
<1%
165-189
$53,265 交易量
<1%
190-214
$37,343 交易量
<1%
215-239
$15,853 交易量
<1%
240+
$19,735 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's elevated posting pace on X throughout mid-May has solidified trader expectations around the 65-89 tweet range for the May 16-18 window. Frequent replies to breaking news, platform feature updates, and cultural debates have driven consistent volume, with recent activity on topics like Grok capabilities and public controversies accelerating the count. Historical patterns show Musk often sustains 20-plus daily posts during active periods, making this band the clear frontrunner at an 87% implied probability. The market's tight clustering around these figures reflects traders' assessment of his typical engagement rhythm, with minimal upside risk for outlier spikes unless major events intervene before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$1,083,439结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's elevated posting pace on X throughout mid-May has solidified trader expectations around the 65-89 tweet range for the May 16-18 window. Frequent replies to breaking news, platform feature updates, and cultural debates have driven consistent volume, with recent activity on topics like Grok capabilities and public controversies accelerating the count. Historical patterns show Musk often sustains 20-plus daily posts during active periods, making this band the clear frontrunner at an 87% implied probability. The market's tight clustering around these figures reflects traders' assessment of his typical engagement rhythm, with minimal upside risk for outlier spikes unless major events intervene before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$1,083,439结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Elon Musk's elevated posting pace on X throughout mid-May has solidified trader expectations around the 65-89 tweet range for the May 16-18 window. Frequent replies to breaking news, platform feature updates, and cultural debates have driven consistent volume, with recent activity on topics like Grok capabilities and public controversies accelerating the count. Historical patterns show Musk often sustains 20-plus daily posts during active periods, making this band the clear frontrunner at an 87% implied probability. The market's tight clustering around these figures reflects traders' assessment of his typical engagement rhythm, with minimal upside risk for outlier spikes unless major events intervene before the period closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题