Elon Musk’s consistent posting rhythm on X during the first half of May has anchored trader expectations around the 40-64 tweet range, currently commanding a 57.5% implied probability. Active threads on AI timelines, Tesla FSD v14.3.3 refinements, Starship V3 progress, and cultural commentary have sustained steady output without the spikes seen during major product launches or political flashpoints. With the three-day window closing on May 18, late-day replies and media shares could still nudge totals toward the upper end of that bracket or briefly test 65-89, though historical patterns show limited chance of extreme volume absent a breaking announcement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于40-64 62%
65-89 35%
90-114 3.0%
115-139 <1%
$966,610 交易量
$966,610 交易量
2026-05-18
少于40条
<1%
40-64
62%
65-89
35%
90-114
3%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 62%
65-89 35%
90-114 3.0%
115-139 <1%
$966,610 交易量
$966,610 交易量
2026-05-18
少于40条
$345,763 交易量
<1%
40-64
$105,324 交易量
62%
65-89
$101,212 交易量
35%
90-114
$125,826 交易量
3%
115-139
$105,532 交易量
1%
140-164
$63,192 交易量
<1%
165-189
$53,265 交易量
<1%
190-214
$37,343 交易量
<1%
215-239
$15,853 交易量
<1%
240+
$19,735 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s consistent posting rhythm on X during the first half of May has anchored trader expectations around the 40-64 tweet range, currently commanding a 57.5% implied probability. Active threads on AI timelines, Tesla FSD v14.3.3 refinements, Starship V3 progress, and cultural commentary have sustained steady output without the spikes seen during major product launches or political flashpoints. With the three-day window closing on May 18, late-day replies and media shares could still nudge totals toward the upper end of that bracket or briefly test 65-89, though historical patterns show limited chance of extreme volume absent a breaking announcement.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$966,610结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s consistent posting rhythm on X during the first half of May has anchored trader expectations around the 40-64 tweet range, currently commanding a 57.5% implied probability. Active threads on AI timelines, Tesla FSD v14.3.3 refinements, Starship V3 progress, and cultural commentary have sustained steady output without the spikes seen during major product launches or political flashpoints. With the three-day window closing on May 18, late-day replies and media shares could still nudge totals toward the upper end of that bracket or briefly test 65-89, though historical patterns show limited chance of extreme volume absent a breaking announcement.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$966,610结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s consistent posting rhythm on X during the first half of May has anchored trader expectations around the 40-64 tweet range, currently commanding a 57.5% implied probability. Active threads on AI timelines, Tesla FSD v14.3.3 refinements, Starship V3 progress, and cultural commentary have sustained steady output without the spikes seen during major product launches or political flashpoints. With the three-day window closing on May 18, late-day replies and media shares could still nudge totals toward the upper end of that bracket or briefly test 65-89, though historical patterns show limited chance of extreme volume absent a breaking announcement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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