Trader consensus on Polymarket has settled on the 40-64 tweet bracket as the frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity from May 18-20, reflecting his established X posting rhythm during low-catalyst weekends. With no confirmed product unveilings, political developments, or high-profile appearances on the immediate horizon, activity is expected to track routine engagement with news cycles and follower interactions rather than spiking from major announcements. Historical patterns show Musk sustaining moderate volumes in similar quiet stretches, bolstering the leading outcome’s implied probability while leaving room for upside if unexpected events emerge. The three-day window opens imminently, keeping traders alert to any rapid shifts in real-time posting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于40-64 56%
65-89 25%
少于40 17%
90-114 5%
最新
$44,227 交易量
最新
$44,227 交易量
2026-05-20
少于40
17%
40-64
56%
65-89
25%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 56%
65-89 25%
少于40 17%
90-114 5%
最新
$44,227 交易量
最新
$44,227 交易量
2026-05-20
少于40
$2,407 交易量
17%
40-64
$3,931 交易量
56%
65-89
$2,978 交易量
25%
90-114
$5,638 交易量
5%
115-139
$4,482 交易量
1%
140-164
$2,691 交易量
<1%
165-189
$4,517 交易量
<1%
190-214
$4,356 交易量
<1%
215-239
$6,486 交易量
<1%
240+
$6,776 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has settled on the 40-64 tweet bracket as the frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity from May 18-20, reflecting his established X posting rhythm during low-catalyst weekends. With no confirmed product unveilings, political developments, or high-profile appearances on the immediate horizon, activity is expected to track routine engagement with news cycles and follower interactions rather than spiking from major announcements. Historical patterns show Musk sustaining moderate volumes in similar quiet stretches, bolstering the leading outcome’s implied probability while leaving room for upside if unexpected events emerge. The three-day window opens imminently, keeping traders alert to any rapid shifts in real-time posting.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
交易量
$44,227结束日期
2026-05-20市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has settled on the 40-64 tweet bracket as the frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity from May 18-20, reflecting his established X posting rhythm during low-catalyst weekends. With no confirmed product unveilings, political developments, or high-profile appearances on the immediate horizon, activity is expected to track routine engagement with news cycles and follower interactions rather than spiking from major announcements. Historical patterns show Musk sustaining moderate volumes in similar quiet stretches, bolstering the leading outcome’s implied probability while leaving room for upside if unexpected events emerge. The three-day window opens imminently, keeping traders alert to any rapid shifts in real-time posting.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$44,227结束日期
2026-05-20市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket has settled on the 40-64 tweet bracket as the frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity from May 18-20, reflecting his established X posting rhythm during low-catalyst weekends. With no confirmed product unveilings, political developments, or high-profile appearances on the immediate horizon, activity is expected to track routine engagement with news cycles and follower interactions rather than spiking from major announcements. Historical patterns show Musk sustaining moderate volumes in similar quiet stretches, bolstering the leading outcome’s implied probability while leaving room for upside if unexpected events emerge. The three-day window opens imminently, keeping traders alert to any rapid shifts in real-time posting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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