Elon Musk’s elevated posting rhythm through mid-May 2026 has created a tight cluster of market-implied odds around the 800–960 tweet range, reflecting traders’ focus on his consistent daily output amid ongoing Tesla updates, X platform milestones, and cultural commentary. Recent activity, including multiple posts on simulation theory, casting debates in European literature, and X surpassing one billion downloads, has reinforced expectations of sustained volume rather than a slowdown. The closely matched contenders highlight sensitivity to daily fluctuations, with key differentiators being major product announcements or high-engagement topics that historically boost output versus quieter periods. Remaining May developments in tech and media stand as the primary catalysts that could shift the final tally before month-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于840-879 11.5%
800-839 10.5%
920-959 10.0%
960-999 8.8%
$3,160,973 交易量
$3,160,973 交易量
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
2%
660-679
3%
680-699
3%
700-719
6%
720-739
4%
740-759
5%
760-779
5%
780-799
6%
800-839
10%
840-879
12%
880-919
6%
920-959
10%
960-999
9%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
840-879 11.5%
800-839 10.5%
920-959 10.0%
960-999 8.8%
$3,160,973 交易量
$3,160,973 交易量
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
2%
660-679
3%
680-699
3%
700-719
6%
720-739
4%
740-759
5%
760-779
5%
780-799
6%
800-839
10%
840-879
12%
880-919
6%
920-959
10%
960-999
9%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s elevated posting rhythm through mid-May 2026 has created a tight cluster of market-implied odds around the 800–960 tweet range, reflecting traders’ focus on his consistent daily output amid ongoing Tesla updates, X platform milestones, and cultural commentary. Recent activity, including multiple posts on simulation theory, casting debates in European literature, and X surpassing one billion downloads, has reinforced expectations of sustained volume rather than a slowdown. The closely matched contenders highlight sensitivity to daily fluctuations, with key differentiators being major product announcements or high-engagement topics that historically boost output versus quieter periods. Remaining May developments in tech and media stand as the primary catalysts that could shift the final tally before month-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题