Michael J. Fox leads trader sentiment for Outstanding Guest Actor in a Comedy Series at the 2026 Emmys, with his 43.6% implied probability reflecting strong precursor momentum and critical acclaim for his multi-episode arc as Gerry on Apple TV+’s Shrinking. His first nomination in a decade for the role, announced in July, has positioned him as the clear frontrunner among voters, echoing historical patterns where high-profile guest turns by established stars often prevail. Rob Reiner’s 19.7% share for The Bear stems from his late-season appearance and the series’ ongoing awards dominance, while Connor Storrie’s SNL work and Hamish Linklater’s Widow’s Bay turn capture smaller shares tied to live-sketch buzz and Apple prestige respectively. With the ceremony approaching in September, guild and critics’ endorsements could still influence final voting in this open field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于艾美奖2026 ：喜剧系列杰出客串演员
艾美奖2026 ：喜剧系列杰出客串演员
迈克尔·J·福克斯——《人生切割术》 43.5%
Rob Reiner –《熊家餐馆》 19.3%
康纳·斯托里——《周六夜现场》 13.5%
哈米什·林克莱特 – “寡妇湾” 10.5%
$36,489 交易量
$36,489 交易量
2026-09-14
迈克尔·J·福克斯——《人生切割术》
44%
Rob Reiner –《熊家餐馆》
19%
康纳·斯托里——《周六夜现场》
13%
哈米什·林克莱特 – “寡妇湾”
11%
克里斯托弗·麦克唐纳——《黑客》
5%
Brett Goldstein——《人生切割术》
4%
迈克尔·J·福克斯——《人生切割术》 43.5%
Rob Reiner –《熊家餐馆》 19.3%
康纳·斯托里——《周六夜现场》 13.5%
哈米什·林克莱特 – “寡妇湾” 10.5%
$36,489 交易量
$36,489 交易量
2026-09-14
迈克尔·J·福克斯——《人生切割术》
$9,456 交易量
44%
Rob Reiner –《熊家餐馆》
$10,127 交易量
19%
康纳·斯托里——《周六夜现场》
$2,524 交易量
13%
哈米什·林克莱特 – “寡妇湾”
$4,043 交易量
11%
克里斯托弗·麦克唐纳——《黑客》
$8,263 交易量
5%
Brett Goldstein——《人生切割术》
$2,076 交易量
4%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Michael J. Fox leads trader sentiment for Outstanding Guest Actor in a Comedy Series at the 2026 Emmys, with his 43.6% implied probability reflecting strong precursor momentum and critical acclaim for his multi-episode arc as Gerry on Apple TV+’s Shrinking. His first nomination in a decade for the role, announced in July, has positioned him as the clear frontrunner among voters, echoing historical patterns where high-profile guest turns by established stars often prevail. Rob Reiner’s 19.7% share for The Bear stems from his late-season appearance and the series’ ongoing awards dominance, while Connor Storrie’s SNL work and Hamish Linklater’s Widow’s Bay turn capture smaller shares tied to live-sketch buzz and Apple prestige respectively. With the ceremony approaching in September, guild and critics’ endorsements could still influence final voting in this open field.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 8:33 PM ET
交易量
$36,489结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 8:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Michael J. Fox leads trader sentiment for Outstanding Guest Actor in a Comedy Series at the 2026 Emmys, with his 43.6% implied probability reflecting strong precursor momentum and critical acclaim for his multi-episode arc as Gerry on Apple TV+’s Shrinking. His first nomination in a decade for the role, announced in July, has positioned him as the clear frontrunner among voters, echoing historical patterns where high-profile guest turns by established stars often prevail. Rob Reiner’s 19.7% share for The Bear stems from his late-season appearance and the series’ ongoing awards dominance, while Connor Storrie’s SNL work and Hamish Linklater’s Widow’s Bay turn capture smaller shares tied to live-sketch buzz and Apple prestige respectively. With the ceremony approaching in September, guild and critics’ endorsements could still influence final voting in this open field.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$36,489结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 8:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Michael J. Fox leads trader sentiment for Outstanding Guest Actor in a Comedy Series at the 2026 Emmys, with his 43.6% implied probability reflecting strong precursor momentum and critical acclaim for his multi-episode arc as Gerry on Apple TV+’s Shrinking. His first nomination in a decade for the role, announced in July, has positioned him as the clear frontrunner among voters, echoing historical patterns where high-profile guest turns by established stars often prevail. Rob Reiner’s 19.7% share for The Bear stems from his late-season appearance and the series’ ongoing awards dominance, while Connor Storrie’s SNL work and Hamish Linklater’s Widow’s Bay turn capture smaller shares tied to live-sketch buzz and Apple prestige respectively. With the ceremony approaching in September, guild and critics’ endorsements could still influence final voting in this open field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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