Rhea Seehorn leads with an 84% implied probability thanks to her acclaimed lead performance in the Vince Gilligan-created Apple TV+ sci-fi series *Pluribus*, which earned 18 Emmy nominations including for Outstanding Drama Series. Seehorn swept key precursors such as the Critics’ Choice and Golden Globe awards for the role, building strong guild and voter momentum for a first win after multiple *Better Call Saul* nods. Keri Russell sits at 13% on the strength of her established *The Diplomat* performance and overdue narrative, though she trails in recent awards cycles. Zendaya (3%) benefits from *Euphoria* Season 3 visibility but faces a more crowded field, while Carrie Coon (1.9%) and newcomer Chase Infiniti (1.1%) trail on comparatively quieter campaigns for *The Gilded Age* and *The Testaments*. The Emmys ceremony remains the key upcoming catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于艾美奖2026 ：戏剧系列中的杰出女主角
艾美奖2026 ：戏剧系列中的杰出女主角
Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” 84%
凯丽·拉塞尔——《外交官》 13.0%
Zendaya –《亢奋》 2.8%
Carrie Coon——《镀金时代》 1.9%
$16,031 交易量
$16,031 交易量
2026-09-14
Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus”
84%
凯丽·拉塞尔——《外交官》
13%
Zendaya –《亢奋》
3%
Carrie Coon——《镀金时代》
2%
Chase Infiniti——《遗嘱》
1%
Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” 84%
凯丽·拉塞尔——《外交官》 13.0%
Zendaya –《亢奋》 2.8%
Carrie Coon——《镀金时代》 1.9%
$16,031 交易量
$16,031 交易量
2026-09-14
Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus”
$9,168 交易量
84%
凯丽·拉塞尔——《外交官》
$2,475 交易量
13%
Zendaya –《亢奋》
$2,181 交易量
3%
Carrie Coon——《镀金时代》
$1,552 交易量
2%
Chase Infiniti——《遗嘱》
$655 交易量
1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rhea Seehorn leads with an 84% implied probability thanks to her acclaimed lead performance in the Vince Gilligan-created Apple TV+ sci-fi series *Pluribus*, which earned 18 Emmy nominations including for Outstanding Drama Series. Seehorn swept key precursors such as the Critics’ Choice and Golden Globe awards for the role, building strong guild and voter momentum for a first win after multiple *Better Call Saul* nods. Keri Russell sits at 13% on the strength of her established *The Diplomat* performance and overdue narrative, though she trails in recent awards cycles. Zendaya (3%) benefits from *Euphoria* Season 3 visibility but faces a more crowded field, while Carrie Coon (1.9%) and newcomer Chase Infiniti (1.1%) trail on comparatively quieter campaigns for *The Gilded Age* and *The Testaments*. The Emmys ceremony remains the key upcoming catalyst.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
交易量
$16,031结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 9:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rhea Seehorn leads with an 84% implied probability thanks to her acclaimed lead performance in the Vince Gilligan-created Apple TV+ sci-fi series *Pluribus*, which earned 18 Emmy nominations including for Outstanding Drama Series. Seehorn swept key precursors such as the Critics’ Choice and Golden Globe awards for the role, building strong guild and voter momentum for a first win after multiple *Better Call Saul* nods. Keri Russell sits at 13% on the strength of her established *The Diplomat* performance and overdue narrative, though she trails in recent awards cycles. Zendaya (3%) benefits from *Euphoria* Season 3 visibility but faces a more crowded field, while Carrie Coon (1.9%) and newcomer Chase Infiniti (1.1%) trail on comparatively quieter campaigns for *The Gilded Age* and *The Testaments*. The Emmys ceremony remains the key upcoming catalyst.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$16,031结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 9:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Rhea Seehorn leads with an 84% implied probability thanks to her acclaimed lead performance in the Vince Gilligan-created Apple TV+ sci-fi series *Pluribus*, which earned 18 Emmy nominations including for Outstanding Drama Series. Seehorn swept key precursors such as the Critics’ Choice and Golden Globe awards for the role, building strong guild and voter momentum for a first win after multiple *Better Call Saul* nods. Keri Russell sits at 13% on the strength of her established *The Diplomat* performance and overdue narrative, though she trails in recent awards cycles. Zendaya (3%) benefits from *Euphoria* Season 3 visibility but faces a more crowded field, while Carrie Coon (1.9%) and newcomer Chase Infiniti (1.1%) trail on comparatively quieter campaigns for *The Gilded Age* and *The Testaments*. The Emmys ceremony remains the key upcoming catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题