Finland’s commanding lead as the clear frontrunner with “Liekinheitin” has shaped trader expectations for a modest victory margin, yet the presence of tightly matched challengers from Greece, Australia, Israel, and Denmark keeps the 25-49 point bracket priced highest. Rehearsal footage and recent jury previews highlight how these entries blend strong televote appeal with solid jury credentials, increasing the chance of a split vote that narrows the final gap. Historical patterns in Eurovision finals show that when multiple acts poll within a narrow range heading into the Grand Final in Vienna this Saturday, the winning margin often lands between 20 and 50 points rather than a blowout. Upcoming live performances and last-minute betting shifts remain the key swing factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Eurovision 2026: Margin of Victory
Eurovision 2026: Margin of Victory
25-49 33%
<25 27%
50-74 23%
75-99 10%
$36,514 交易量
$36,514 交易量
2026-05-16
<25
27%
25-49
33%
50-74
23%
75-99
10%
100-124
6%
125-149
4%
150+
4%
25-49 33%
<25 27%
50-74 23%
75-99 10%
$36,514 交易量
$36,514 交易量
2026-05-16
<25
$15,141 交易量
27%
25-49
$7,035 交易量
33%
50-74
$2,378 交易量
23%
75-99
$3,175 交易量
10%
100-124
$2,845 交易量
6%
125-149
$2,600 交易量
4%
150+
$3,340 交易量
4%
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland’s commanding lead as the clear frontrunner with “Liekinheitin” has shaped trader expectations for a modest victory margin, yet the presence of tightly matched challengers from Greece, Australia, Israel, and Denmark keeps the 25-49 point bracket priced highest. Rehearsal footage and recent jury previews highlight how these entries blend strong televote appeal with solid jury credentials, increasing the chance of a split vote that narrows the final gap. Historical patterns in Eurovision finals show that when multiple acts poll within a narrow range heading into the Grand Final in Vienna this Saturday, the winning margin often lands between 20 and 50 points rather than a blowout. Upcoming live performances and last-minute betting shifts remain the key swing factors.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
交易量
$36,514结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland’s commanding lead as the clear frontrunner with “Liekinheitin” has shaped trader expectations for a modest victory margin, yet the presence of tightly matched challengers from Greece, Australia, Israel, and Denmark keeps the 25-49 point bracket priced highest. Rehearsal footage and recent jury previews highlight how these entries blend strong televote appeal with solid jury credentials, increasing the chance of a split vote that narrows the final gap. Historical patterns in Eurovision finals show that when multiple acts poll within a narrow range heading into the Grand Final in Vienna this Saturday, the winning margin often lands between 20 and 50 points rather than a blowout. Upcoming live performances and last-minute betting shifts remain the key swing factors.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$36,514结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Finland’s commanding lead as the clear frontrunner with “Liekinheitin” has shaped trader expectations for a modest victory margin, yet the presence of tightly matched challengers from Greece, Australia, Israel, and Denmark keeps the 25-49 point bracket priced highest. Rehearsal footage and recent jury previews highlight how these entries blend strong televote appeal with solid jury credentials, increasing the chance of a split vote that narrows the final gap. Historical patterns in Eurovision finals show that when multiple acts poll within a narrow range heading into the Grand Final in Vienna this Saturday, the winning margin often lands between 20 and 50 points rather than a blowout. Upcoming live performances and last-minute betting shifts remain the key swing factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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