Finland holds a narrow trader consensus lead at 25% implied probability for Eurovision Song Contest 2026 second place, fueled by its "Liekinheitin" duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's dominant OGAE fan poll win, stellar first semi-final qualification on May 12, and buzz from live violin staging in Vienna rehearsals. Israel (18%) surges on televote strength despite boycotts from five nations, advancing safely in semi-final 1, while Germany's Big 5 entry leverages jury-friendly production previews. Denmark and Greece (both 16.5%) compete via catchy hooks and strong dress rehearsal press polls, with Ukraine and UK close behind on diaspora voting potential. In this bunched field under 25%, differentiators include vocal stability in today's semi-final 2, jury-televote splits, and final-night energy ahead of May 16's grand final.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Eurovision 2nd Place 2026
Eurovision 2nd Place 2026
Finland 40%
United Kingdom 31.0%
Greece 22%
Germany 17%
Finland
25%
United Kingdom
16%
Greece
17%
Germany
17%
Israel
19%
Denmark
13%
Australia
22%
Ukraine
9%
Poland
9%
France
8%
Romania
8%
Moldova
5%
Italy
4%
Sweden
4%
Bulgaria
4%
Croatia
3%
Belgium
3%
Cyprus
3%
Austria
3%
Czechia
3%
Malta
3%
Serbia
2%
Luxembourg
2%
Norway
2%
Albania
2%
Latvia
1%
Switzerland
1%
Estonia
1%
San Marino
1%
Azerbaijan
1%
Georgia
1%
Lithuania
1%
Montenegro
1%
Armenia
1%
Portugal
<1%
Finland 40%
United Kingdom 31.0%
Greece 22%
Germany 17%
Finland
25%
United Kingdom
16%
Greece
17%
Germany
17%
Israel
19%
Denmark
13%
Australia
22%
Ukraine
9%
Poland
9%
France
8%
Romania
8%
Moldova
5%
Italy
4%
Sweden
4%
Bulgaria
4%
Croatia
3%
Belgium
3%
Cyprus
3%
Austria
3%
Czechia
3%
Malta
3%
Serbia
2%
Luxembourg
2%
Norway
2%
Albania
2%
Latvia
1%
Switzerland
1%
Estonia
1%
San Marino
1%
Azerbaijan
1%
Georgia
1%
Lithuania
1%
Montenegro
1%
Armenia
1%
Portugal
<1%
If no second place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 11:55 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no second place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Finland holds a narrow trader consensus lead at 25% implied probability for Eurovision Song Contest 2026 second place, fueled by its "Liekinheitin" duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's dominant OGAE fan poll win, stellar first semi-final qualification on May 12, and buzz from live violin staging in Vienna rehearsals. Israel (18%) surges on televote strength despite boycotts from five nations, advancing safely in semi-final 1, while Germany's Big 5 entry leverages jury-friendly production previews. Denmark and Greece (both 16.5%) compete via catchy hooks and strong dress rehearsal press polls, with Ukraine and UK close behind on diaspora voting potential. In this bunched field under 25%, differentiators include vocal stability in today's semi-final 2, jury-televote splits, and final-night energy ahead of May 16's grand final.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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