Finland leads the Eurovision 2026 market at nearly 50% implied probability thanks to the high-energy performance art of “Liekinheitin” by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, which dominated rehearsals in Vienna and earned consistent praise for its chaotic staging and broad appeal. Australia sits second on the strength of Delta Goodrem’s polished “Eclipse,” while smaller shares for Bulgaria, Greece and Israel reflect solid but narrower fanbases amid the contest’s 35-country field. Boycotts by Ireland, Spain and four other nations over Israel’s participation have added last-minute volatility yet failed to derail the top contenders, who all advanced cleanly from the semifinals. With the grand final set for tonight at Wiener Stadthalle, traders are pricing in Finland’s rehearsal momentum and historical Nordic voting patterns as the decisive edge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网冠军
2026年欧洲电视网冠军
芬兰 49.4%
澳大利亚 24.6%
保加利亚 6.3%
希腊 5.8%
$173,216,613 交易量
$173,216,613 交易量
芬兰
49%
澳大利亚
25%
保加利亚
6%
希腊
6%
以色列
5%
罗马尼亚
5%
丹麦
2%
意大利
1%
法国
1%
瑞典
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
克罗地亚
<1%
摩尔多瓦
<1%
乌克兰
<1%
捷克
<1%
塞浦路斯
<1%
马耳他
<1%
波兰
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
奥地利
<1%
比利时
<1%
德国
<1%
挪威
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
英国
<1%
芬兰 49.4%
澳大利亚 24.6%
保加利亚 6.3%
希腊 5.8%
$173,216,613 交易量
$173,216,613 交易量
芬兰
49%
澳大利亚
25%
保加利亚
6%
希腊
6%
以色列
5%
罗马尼亚
5%
丹麦
2%
意大利
1%
法国
1%
瑞典
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
克罗地亚
<1%
摩尔多瓦
<1%
乌克兰
<1%
捷克
<1%
塞浦路斯
<1%
马耳他
<1%
波兰
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
奥地利
<1%
比利时
<1%
德国
<1%
挪威
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
英国
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland leads the Eurovision 2026 market at nearly 50% implied probability thanks to the high-energy performance art of “Liekinheitin” by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, which dominated rehearsals in Vienna and earned consistent praise for its chaotic staging and broad appeal. Australia sits second on the strength of Delta Goodrem’s polished “Eclipse,” while smaller shares for Bulgaria, Greece and Israel reflect solid but narrower fanbases amid the contest’s 35-country field. Boycotts by Ireland, Spain and four other nations over Israel’s participation have added last-minute volatility yet failed to derail the top contenders, who all advanced cleanly from the semifinals. With the grand final set for tonight at Wiener Stadthalle, traders are pricing in Finland’s rehearsal momentum and historical Nordic voting patterns as the decisive edge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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