Australia's Delta Goodrem has captured trader consensus as the clear frontrunner to top the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final scoreboard at 63.5% implied probability, propelled by standout dress rehearsals for "Eclipse"—a visually arresting light-and-shadow spectacle featuring a Swarovski-crystal gown, live harpist, and unique pyro finale that wowed press and jury previews. Romania's Alexandra Căpitănescu ("Choke Me," 12.7%), Ukraine's folk-driven Leléka (12.4%), and Bulgaria's DARA ("Bangaranga," 10.9%) maintain momentum from strong first-run impressions and favorable running order slots, aligning with OGAE polls and models like The Model. Tonight's Vienna live show will test televote surge versus jury scoring in this tight qualifiers race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner
Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner
Australia 65%
Romania 12.7%
Ukraine 12.4%
Bulgaria 10.9%
$186,219 交易量
$186,219 交易量
2026-05-12
Australia
65%
Romania
13%
Ukraine
12%
Bulgaria
11%
Denmark
2%
Czechia
2%
Cyprus
1%
Albania
1%
Norway
<1%
Malta
<1%
Australia 65%
Romania 12.7%
Ukraine 12.4%
Bulgaria 10.9%
$186,219 交易量
$186,219 交易量
2026-05-12
Australia
$34,737 交易量
65%
Romania
$14,676 交易量
13%
Ukraine
$11,252 交易量
12%
Bulgaria
$10,387 交易量
11%
Denmark
$44,681 交易量
2%
Czechia
$8,389 交易量
2%
Cyprus
$6,851 交易量
1%
Albania
$6,345 交易量
1%
Norway
$6,476 交易量
<1%
Malta
$8,110 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Australia's Delta Goodrem has captured trader consensus as the clear frontrunner to top the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final scoreboard at 63.5% implied probability, propelled by standout dress rehearsals for "Eclipse"—a visually arresting light-and-shadow spectacle featuring a Swarovski-crystal gown, live harpist, and unique pyro finale that wowed press and jury previews. Romania's Alexandra Căpitănescu ("Choke Me," 12.7%), Ukraine's folk-driven Leléka (12.4%), and Bulgaria's DARA ("Bangaranga," 10.9%) maintain momentum from strong first-run impressions and favorable running order slots, aligning with OGAE polls and models like The Model. Tonight's Vienna live show will test televote surge versus jury scoring in this tight qualifiers race.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
交易量
$186,219结束日期
2026-05-12市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Australia's Delta Goodrem has captured trader consensus as the clear frontrunner to top the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final scoreboard at 63.5% implied probability, propelled by standout dress rehearsals for "Eclipse"—a visually arresting light-and-shadow spectacle featuring a Swarovski-crystal gown, live harpist, and unique pyro finale that wowed press and jury previews. Romania's Alexandra Căpitănescu ("Choke Me," 12.7%), Ukraine's folk-driven Leléka (12.4%), and Bulgaria's DARA ("Bangaranga," 10.9%) maintain momentum from strong first-run impressions and favorable running order slots, aligning with OGAE polls and models like The Model. Tonight's Vienna live show will test televote surge versus jury scoring in this tight qualifiers race.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$186,219结束日期
2026-05-12市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Australia's Delta Goodrem has captured trader consensus as the clear frontrunner to top the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final scoreboard at 63.5% implied probability, propelled by standout dress rehearsals for "Eclipse"—a visually arresting light-and-shadow spectacle featuring a Swarovski-crystal gown, live harpist, and unique pyro finale that wowed press and jury previews. Romania's Alexandra Căpitănescu ("Choke Me," 12.7%), Ukraine's folk-driven Leléka (12.4%), and Bulgaria's DARA ("Bangaranga," 10.9%) maintain momentum from strong first-run impressions and favorable running order slots, aligning with OGAE polls and models like The Model. Tonight's Vienna live show will test televote surge versus jury scoring in this tight qualifiers race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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