Finland’s entry “Liekinheitin” by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to clear frontrunner status at 46.9% implied probability, driven by its high-energy disco track that aligns perfectly with Eurovision’s preference for memorable hooks and theatrical staging. Trader consensus reflects strong rehearsal buzz and consistent bookie support heading into the grand final this Saturday in Vienna. Australia’s Delta Goodrem with “Eclipse” holds a solid second place at 28.6%, boosted by her established star power and post-semi-final momentum. Lower-probability contenders like Bulgaria, Israel, and Greece trail due to narrower appeal in recent polling and voting patterns, though late jury surprises remain possible in this typically unpredictable contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网冠军
芬兰 48.6%
澳大利亚 28.8%
保加利亚 6.5%
以色列 6.4%
$183,467,634 交易量
$183,467,634 交易量

芬兰
49%

澳大利亚
29%

保加利亚
6%

以色列
6%

希腊
3%

罗马尼亚
3%

丹麦
2%

法国
1%

意大利
1%

摩尔多瓦
1%

乌克兰
1%

马耳他
1%

塞浦路斯
1%

克罗地亚
<1%

捷克
<1%

瑞典
<1%

塞尔维亚
<1%

阿尔巴尼亚
<1%

挪威
<1%

波兰
<1%

奥地利
<1%

比利时
<1%

德国
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

英国
<1%
芬兰 48.6%
澳大利亚 28.8%
保加利亚 6.5%
以色列 6.4%
$183,467,634 交易量
$183,467,634 交易量

芬兰
49%

澳大利亚
29%

保加利亚
6%

以色列
6%

希腊
3%

罗马尼亚
3%

丹麦
2%

法国
1%

意大利
1%

摩尔多瓦
1%

乌克兰
1%

马耳他
1%

塞浦路斯
1%

克罗地亚
<1%

捷克
<1%

瑞典
<1%

塞尔维亚
<1%

阿尔巴尼亚
<1%

挪威
<1%

波兰
<1%

奥地利
<1%

比利时
<1%

德国
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

英国
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland’s entry “Liekinheitin” by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to clear frontrunner status at 46.9% implied probability, driven by its high-energy disco track that aligns perfectly with Eurovision’s preference for memorable hooks and theatrical staging. Trader consensus reflects strong rehearsal buzz and consistent bookie support heading into the grand final this Saturday in Vienna. Australia’s Delta Goodrem with “Eclipse” holds a solid second place at 28.6%, boosted by her established star power and post-semi-final momentum. Lower-probability contenders like Bulgaria, Israel, and Greece trail due to narrower appeal in recent polling and voting patterns, though late jury surprises remain possible in this typically unpredictable contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题