Bulgaria has locked in a 100% market-implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 winner, propelled by Dara’s commanding “Bangaranga” performances across the second semi-final, dress rehearsals, and final that secured both jury and televote dominance with 516 points. The track’s fusion of contemporary pop and Bulgarian folklore resonated strongly with voters and critics, marking the nation’s first victory after a three-year return and aligning with recent betting-market surges that elevated it into the top tier. This level of consensus reflects the “wisdom of crowds” among traders staking real capital on verified momentum. An upset would require an unprecedented late reversal in public or jury voting, though such scenarios appear highly improbable given the entry’s established lead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网冠军
保加利亚 100.0%
阿尔巴尼亚 <1%
奥地利 <1%
比利时 <1%
$193,837,509 交易量
$193,837,509 交易量

保加利亚
100%

阿尔巴尼亚
<1%

奥地利
<1%

比利时
<1%

克罗地亚
<1%

捷克
<1%

法国
<1%

德国
<1%

以色列
<1%

摩尔多瓦
<1%

挪威
<1%

瑞典
<1%

乌克兰
<1%

澳大利亚
<1%

塞浦路斯
<1%

丹麦
<1%

芬兰
<1%

希腊
<1%

意大利
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

马耳他
<1%

波兰
<1%

罗马尼亚
<1%

塞尔维亚
<1%

英国
<1%
保加利亚 100.0%
阿尔巴尼亚 <1%
奥地利 <1%
比利时 <1%
$193,837,509 交易量
$193,837,509 交易量

保加利亚
100%

阿尔巴尼亚
<1%

奥地利
<1%

比利时
<1%

克罗地亚
<1%

捷克
<1%

法国
<1%

德国
<1%

以色列
<1%

摩尔多瓦
<1%

挪威
<1%

瑞典
<1%

乌克兰
<1%

澳大利亚
<1%

塞浦路斯
<1%

丹麦
<1%

芬兰
<1%

希腊
<1%

意大利
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

马耳他
<1%

波兰
<1%

罗马尼亚
<1%

塞尔维亚
<1%

英国
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
争议期
最终
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
争议期
最终
Bulgaria has locked in a 100% market-implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 winner, propelled by Dara’s commanding “Bangaranga” performances across the second semi-final, dress rehearsals, and final that secured both jury and televote dominance with 516 points. The track’s fusion of contemporary pop and Bulgarian folklore resonated strongly with voters and critics, marking the nation’s first victory after a three-year return and aligning with recent betting-market surges that elevated it into the top tier. This level of consensus reflects the “wisdom of crowds” among traders staking real capital on verified momentum. An upset would require an unprecedented late reversal in public or jury voting, though such scenarios appear highly improbable given the entry’s established lead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题