Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen leads with 44.6% implied probability after standout rehearsals in Vienna that highlighted its high-energy disco-flamethrower staging and broad jury-televote appeal, positioning the Nordic entry as the clear frontrunner for tonight's grand final. Australia’s Delta Goodrem has climbed to 29.6% on the strength of polished vocal delivery in "Eclipse" and post-semi-final momentum, while Israel, Bulgaria, and Greece sit in the single digits on consistent but narrower appeal. Traders are pricing in Finland’s historical Eurovision momentum and recent rehearsal buzz as decisive factors, though the contest’s split jury and public vote leaves room for late surges from strong staging or televote surprises in the final hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网冠军
芬兰 44.1%
澳大利亚 29.6%
以色列 8.2%
保加利亚 6.7%
$180,485,576 交易量
$180,485,576 交易量

芬兰
44%

澳大利亚
30%

以色列
8%

保加利亚
7%

希腊
6%

罗马尼亚
4%

丹麦
2%

意大利
1%

法国
1%

乌克兰
1%

马耳他
1%

瑞典
<1%

阿尔巴尼亚
<1%

摩尔多瓦
<1%

克罗地亚
<1%

捷克
<1%

塞浦路斯
<1%

挪威
<1%

波兰
<1%

塞尔维亚
<1%

奥地利
<1%

比利时
<1%

德国
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

英国
<1%
芬兰 44.1%
澳大利亚 29.6%
以色列 8.2%
保加利亚 6.7%
$180,485,576 交易量
$180,485,576 交易量

芬兰
44%

澳大利亚
30%

以色列
8%

保加利亚
7%

希腊
6%

罗马尼亚
4%

丹麦
2%

意大利
1%

法国
1%

乌克兰
1%

马耳他
1%

瑞典
<1%

阿尔巴尼亚
<1%

摩尔多瓦
<1%

克罗地亚
<1%

捷克
<1%

塞浦路斯
<1%

挪威
<1%

波兰
<1%

塞尔维亚
<1%

奥地利
<1%

比利时
<1%

德国
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

英国
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen leads with 44.6% implied probability after standout rehearsals in Vienna that highlighted its high-energy disco-flamethrower staging and broad jury-televote appeal, positioning the Nordic entry as the clear frontrunner for tonight's grand final. Australia’s Delta Goodrem has climbed to 29.6% on the strength of polished vocal delivery in "Eclipse" and post-semi-final momentum, while Israel, Bulgaria, and Greece sit in the single digits on consistent but narrower appeal. Traders are pricing in Finland’s historical Eurovision momentum and recent rehearsal buzz as decisive factors, though the contest’s split jury and public vote leaves room for late surges from strong staging or televote surprises in the final hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题