Argentina's status as defending champions and third-ranked in FIFA standings drives trader consensus at 75.5% implied probability for topping Group J, bolstered by coach Lionel Scaloni's recent 55-man preliminary squad announcement including Lionel Messi and Lautaro Martínez, signaling strong roster depth despite minor injury concerns. Austria sits at 18.0% as the primary challenger, leveraging solid recent friendlies like 1-0 over South Korea and 24th global ranking for upset potential against Algeria. Algeria's 6.3% reflects a goalkeeping crisis, with Luca Zidane doubtful from facial fractures and reliance on a retired option, while debutants Jordan lag at 1.2% amid 66th ranking and limited firepower in a top-two-advance group stage format.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于阿根廷 76%
奥地利 17%
阿尔及利亚 6.3%
约旦 1.3%
$86,310 交易量
$86,310 交易量
阿根廷
76%
奥地利
17%
阿尔及利亚
6%
约旦
1%
阿根廷 76%
奥地利 17%
阿尔及利亚 6.3%
约旦 1.3%
$86,310 交易量
$86,310 交易量
阿根廷
76%
奥地利
17%
阿尔及利亚
6%
约旦
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina's status as defending champions and third-ranked in FIFA standings drives trader consensus at 75.5% implied probability for topping Group J, bolstered by coach Lionel Scaloni's recent 55-man preliminary squad announcement including Lionel Messi and Lautaro Martínez, signaling strong roster depth despite minor injury concerns. Austria sits at 18.0% as the primary challenger, leveraging solid recent friendlies like 1-0 over South Korea and 24th global ranking for upset potential against Algeria. Algeria's 6.3% reflects a goalkeeping crisis, with Luca Zidane doubtful from facial fractures and reliance on a retired option, while debutants Jordan lag at 1.2% amid 66th ranking and limited firepower in a top-two-advance group stage format.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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