Trader consensus heavily favors no replacement for Iran in the FIFA World Cup 2026 group stage at 85.4%, driven by FIFA President Gianni Infantino's repeated confirmations—including on April 30 that Iran will play all U.S.-based matches—and Iran's football federation stating on May 7 they will "definitely" participate once host concerns are addressed. Recent public send-off ceremonies in Tehran on May 13 signal preparations for the tournament hosted by the U.S., Mexico, and Canada, while Italy rejected replacement proposals on April 23 and FIFA dismissed U.S. suggestions on April 24. Lower odds on Italy (7%) and UAE (4.3%) reflect earlier speculation tied to AFC rankings and geopolitics, but official stances have solidified the status quo. Realistic challenges include Iran's potential withdrawal over visa or logistical issues for IRGC-linked personnel, though U.S. clarifications allow player participation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于No Replacement 85.3%
Italy 7.0%
UAE 4.4%
Other <1%
$29,612 交易量
$29,612 交易量
2026-08-31
No Replacement
85%
Italy
7%
UAE
4%
Other
1%
Bolivia
<1%
No Replacement 85.3%
Italy 7.0%
UAE 4.4%
Other <1%
$29,612 交易量
$29,612 交易量
2026-08-31
No Replacement
$8,325 交易量
85%
Italy
$14,406 交易量
7%
UAE
$2,961 交易量
4%
Other
$2,280 交易量
1%
Bolivia
$1,641 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no replacement for Iran in the FIFA World Cup 2026 group stage at 85.4%, driven by FIFA President Gianni Infantino's repeated confirmations—including on April 30 that Iran will play all U.S.-based matches—and Iran's football federation stating on May 7 they will "definitely" participate once host concerns are addressed. Recent public send-off ceremonies in Tehran on May 13 signal preparations for the tournament hosted by the U.S., Mexico, and Canada, while Italy rejected replacement proposals on April 23 and FIFA dismissed U.S. suggestions on April 24. Lower odds on Italy (7%) and UAE (4.3%) reflect earlier speculation tied to AFC rankings and geopolitics, but official stances have solidified the status quo. Realistic challenges include Iran's potential withdrawal over visa or logistical issues for IRGC-linked personnel, though U.S. clarifications allow player participation.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
交易量
$29,612结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no replacement for Iran in the FIFA World Cup 2026 group stage at 85.4%, driven by FIFA President Gianni Infantino's repeated confirmations—including on April 30 that Iran will play all U.S.-based matches—and Iran's football federation stating on May 7 they will "definitely" participate once host concerns are addressed. Recent public send-off ceremonies in Tehran on May 13 signal preparations for the tournament hosted by the U.S., Mexico, and Canada, while Italy rejected replacement proposals on April 23 and FIFA dismissed U.S. suggestions on April 24. Lower odds on Italy (7%) and UAE (4.3%) reflect earlier speculation tied to AFC rankings and geopolitics, but official stances have solidified the status quo. Realistic challenges include Iran's potential withdrawal over visa or logistical issues for IRGC-linked personnel, though U.S. clarifications allow player participation.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$29,612结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors no replacement for Iran in the FIFA World Cup 2026 group stage at 85.4%, driven by FIFA President Gianni Infantino's repeated confirmations—including on April 30 that Iran will play all U.S.-based matches—and Iran's football federation stating on May 7 they will "definitely" participate once host concerns are addressed. Recent public send-off ceremonies in Tehran on May 13 signal preparations for the tournament hosted by the U.S., Mexico, and Canada, while Italy rejected replacement proposals on April 23 and FIFA dismissed U.S. suggestions on April 24. Lower odds on Italy (7%) and UAE (4.3%) reflect earlier speculation tied to AFC rankings and geopolitics, but official stances have solidified the status quo. Realistic challenges include Iran's potential withdrawal over visa or logistical issues for IRGC-linked personnel, though U.S. clarifications allow player participation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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