Argentina's commanding position as defending champions and FIFA's top-ranked side drives the market's strong consensus, backed by a star-studded roster including Lionel Messi and proven group-stage dominance in recent major tournaments. The South American side's depth, attacking firepower, and recent competitive form against top opposition leave little room for surprises in Group J. Austria sits as the clearest challenger thanks to its solid European qualifying record and balanced squad, while Algeria draws support from its African Cup pedigree yet trails in overall talent and consistency. Jordan remains a long shot given its limited international experience and tougher matchup profile. These implied probabilities reflect traders' assessment of current team strength, historical trends, and schedule positioning heading into the 2026 tournament.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于阿根廷 76%
奥地利 16%
阿尔及利亚 7.8%
约旦 <1%
$88,032 交易量
$88,032 交易量
阿根廷
76%
奥地利
16%
阿尔及利亚
8%
约旦
1%
阿根廷 76%
奥地利 16%
阿尔及利亚 7.8%
约旦 <1%
$88,032 交易量
$88,032 交易量
阿根廷
76%
奥地利
16%
阿尔及利亚
8%
约旦
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina's commanding position as defending champions and FIFA's top-ranked side drives the market's strong consensus, backed by a star-studded roster including Lionel Messi and proven group-stage dominance in recent major tournaments. The South American side's depth, attacking firepower, and recent competitive form against top opposition leave little room for surprises in Group J. Austria sits as the clearest challenger thanks to its solid European qualifying record and balanced squad, while Algeria draws support from its African Cup pedigree yet trails in overall talent and consistency. Jordan remains a long shot given its limited international experience and tougher matchup profile. These implied probabilities reflect traders' assessment of current team strength, historical trends, and schedule positioning heading into the 2026 tournament.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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