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icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
选举·法国选举

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
选举·法国选举

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

$26,161 交易量

2027-04-23
Polymarket

$26,161 交易量

Polymarket

Éric Zemmour

$258 交易量

62%

Jordan Bardella

$1,769 交易量

73%

Michel Barnier

$192 交易量

10%

Valérie Pécresse

$177 交易量

12%

Élisabeth Borne

$298 交易量

4%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$385 交易量

14%

Jean Castex

$64 交易量

18%

Gérald Darmanin

$171 交易量

14%

Sébastien Lecornu

$284 交易量

19%

François Bayrou

$505 交易量

1%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$67 交易量

11%

Carole Delga

$165 交易量

13%

Olivier Faure

$1,765 交易量

11%

François Hollande

$366 交易量

59%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$2,085 交易量

88%

Manuel Bompard

$397 交易量

6%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$6,450 交易量

97%

Mathilde Panot

$8,833 交易量

2%

Dominique de Villepin

$61 交易量

48%

Marine Le Pen

$473 交易量

21%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of mid-2026, more than a dozen figures have formally declared presidential bids ahead of the April 2027 vote, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon announcing his fourth campaign in early May. Former prime ministers Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also entered the race, while Bruno Retailleau secured Les Républicains’ endorsement after an internal vote in April. Additional confirmed candidacies include Karim Bouamrane and several left-wing and far-right contenders, reflecting a fragmented field across major parties. Macron’s ineligibility due to term limits, ongoing coalition negotiations, and the need for 500 elected-official signatures continue to shape positioning, with further announcements and potential withdrawals expected before year-end.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$26,161
结束日期
2027-04-23
市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of mid-2026, more than a dozen figures have formally declared presidential bids ahead of the April 2027 vote, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon announcing his fourth campaign in early May. Former prime ministers Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also entered the race, while Bruno Retailleau secured Les Républicains’ endorsement after an internal vote in April. Additional confirmed candidacies include Karim Bouamrane and several left-wing and far-right contenders, reflecting a fragmented field across major parties. Macron’s ineligibility due to term limits, ongoing coalition negotiations, and the need for 500 elected-official signatures continue to shape positioning, with further announcements and potential withdrawals expected before year-end.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$26,161
结束日期
2027-04-23
市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 21 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Gabriel Attal"，概率为 100%，其次是"Jean-Luc Mélenchon"，概率为 97%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?"已产生 $26.2K 的总交易量（自Apr 22, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 21 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?"的当前领先者是"Gabriel Attal"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Jean-Luc Mélenchon"，概率为 97%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。