**Strong sustained demand for NVIDIA Blackwell B200 GPUs amid ongoing supply constraints is driving trader consensus toward the $7.00+ bracket at end-2026 (65.5% implied probability).** Current on-demand medians sit near $6.39–$7.71 per GPU-hour across neocloud and specialist providers as of mid-to-late September 2026, with community/spot floors around $3.20–$3.75 and hyperscaler listings often exceeding $14. Transaction-based indices show modest recent gains (+7–14% over 30 days), reflecting AI training and inference workloads absorbing incremental capacity from the TSMC ramp. The wide spread between efficient marketplace rates and premium enterprise allocations underscores persistent allocation tightness, while B200’s 180 GB HBM3e bandwidth advantage supports frontier-scale use cases. Key swing factors through year-end include further Blackwell production scaling, power constraints in data centers, and potential AMD MI300X adoption that could ease pressure on pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7.00美元及以上 66%
$6.50-$7.00 16.2%
$5.50-$6.00 7%
$6.00-$6.50 6%
$79,637 交易量
$79,637 交易量
低于3.00美元
1%
$3.00-$3.50
3%
$3.50-$4.00
3%
$4.00-$4.50
3%
$4.50-$5.00
2%
$5.00-$5.50
4%
$5.50-$6.00
7%
$6.00-$6.50
6%
$6.50-$7.00
16%
7.00美元及以上
66%
7.00美元及以上 66%
$6.50-$7.00 16.2%
$5.50-$6.00 7%
$6.00-$6.50 6%
$79,637 交易量
$79,637 交易量
低于3.00美元
1%
$3.00-$3.50
3%
$3.50-$4.00
3%
$4.00-$4.50
3%
$4.50-$5.00
2%
$5.00-$5.50
4%
$5.50-$6.00
7%
$6.00-$6.50
6%
$6.50-$7.00
16%
7.00美元及以上
66%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
**Strong sustained demand for NVIDIA Blackwell B200 GPUs amid ongoing supply constraints is driving trader consensus toward the $7.00+ bracket at end-2026 (65.5% implied probability).** Current on-demand medians sit near $6.39–$7.71 per GPU-hour across neocloud and specialist providers as of mid-to-late September 2026, with community/spot floors around $3.20–$3.75 and hyperscaler listings often exceeding $14. Transaction-based indices show modest recent gains (+7–14% over 30 days), reflecting AI training and inference workloads absorbing incremental capacity from the TSMC ramp. The wide spread between efficient marketplace rates and premium enterprise allocations underscores persistent allocation tightness, while B200’s 180 GB HBM3e bandwidth advantage supports frontier-scale use cases. Key swing factors through year-end include further Blackwell production scaling, power constraints in data centers, and potential AMD MI300X adoption that could ease pressure on pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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