The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared May 15 after jurors deadlocked on the Jessica Mann charge, has sharply reinforced trader sentiment favoring No Prison Time. Prosecutors now have 30 days to decide on a potential fourth trial, leaving that count unresolved while Weinstein, 74, remains incarcerated under his separate 16-year California rape conviction and awaits sentencing on a prior New York count. Appeals on the California verdict and health concerns continue to shape perceptions of limited additional time, aligning with the market’s 86.2% implied probability on no further prison. Upcoming decisions on retrial or sentencing hearings stand as the next clear catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Harvey Weinstein入狱时间？
Harvey Weinstein入狱时间？
无监禁时间 86.2%
少于5年 7.0%
5-10年 4.1%
10-20年 3.4%
$988,068 交易量
$988,068 交易量
2025-12-31
无监禁时间
86%
少于5年
7%
5-10年
4%
10-20年
3%
20-30年
3%
30年以上
1%
无监禁时间 86.2%
少于5年 7.0%
5-10年 4.1%
10-20年 3.4%
$988,068 交易量
$988,068 交易量
2025-12-31
无监禁时间
$347,087 交易量
86%
少于5年
$131,255 交易量
7%
5-10年
$79,723 交易量
4%
10-20年
$158,030 交易量
3%
20-30年
$199,546 交易量
3%
30年以上
$72,465 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared May 15 after jurors deadlocked on the Jessica Mann charge, has sharply reinforced trader sentiment favoring No Prison Time. Prosecutors now have 30 days to decide on a potential fourth trial, leaving that count unresolved while Weinstein, 74, remains incarcerated under his separate 16-year California rape conviction and awaits sentencing on a prior New York count. Appeals on the California verdict and health concerns continue to shape perceptions of limited additional time, aligning with the market’s 86.2% implied probability on no further prison. Upcoming decisions on retrial or sentencing hearings stand as the next clear catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
交易量
$988,068结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared May 15 after jurors deadlocked on the Jessica Mann charge, has sharply reinforced trader sentiment favoring No Prison Time. Prosecutors now have 30 days to decide on a potential fourth trial, leaving that count unresolved while Weinstein, 74, remains incarcerated under his separate 16-year California rape conviction and awaits sentencing on a prior New York count. Appeals on the California verdict and health concerns continue to shape perceptions of limited additional time, aligning with the market’s 86.2% implied probability on no further prison. Upcoming decisions on retrial or sentencing hearings stand as the next clear catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$988,068结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared May 15 after jurors deadlocked on the Jessica Mann charge, has sharply reinforced trader sentiment favoring No Prison Time. Prosecutors now have 30 days to decide on a potential fourth trial, leaving that count unresolved while Weinstein, 74, remains incarcerated under his separate 16-year California rape conviction and awaits sentencing on a prior New York count. Appeals on the California verdict and health concerns continue to shape perceptions of limited additional time, aligning with the market’s 86.2% implied probability on no further prison. Upcoming decisions on retrial or sentencing hearings stand as the next clear catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题