The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s New York rape retrial has sharply lifted trader confidence in a “No Prison Time” outcome, now implied at 79.3 percent. After three days of deliberations, the jury deadlocked 9-3 in favor of acquittal, prompting the judge to declare a mistrial and giving prosecutors 30 days to decide on a potential fourth trial. Weinstein, already serving a 16-year California sentence from his 2022 conviction that remains under appeal, faces limited upside for additional consecutive time given his age, documented health issues, and the precedent of hung juries in prior proceedings. With no immediate sentencing dates on the horizon and ongoing appeals, the market reflects strong consensus that further incarceration beyond existing terms is unlikely to materialize.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Harvey Weinstein入狱时间？
Harvey Weinstein入狱时间？
无监禁时间 79.6%
少于5年 7.1%
5-10年 6.0%
10-20年 5.1%
$987,079 交易量
$987,079 交易量
2025-12-31
无监禁时间
80%
少于5年
7%
5-10年
6%
10-20年
5%
20-30年
4%
30年以上
<1%
无监禁时间 79.6%
少于5年 7.1%
5-10年 6.0%
10-20年 5.1%
$987,079 交易量
$987,079 交易量
2025-12-31
无监禁时间
$346,861 交易量
80%
少于5年
$131,147 交易量
7%
5-10年
$79,617 交易量
6%
10-20年
$157,753 交易量
5%
20-30年
$199,240 交易量
4%
30年以上
$72,460 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s New York rape retrial has sharply lifted trader confidence in a “No Prison Time” outcome, now implied at 79.3 percent. After three days of deliberations, the jury deadlocked 9-3 in favor of acquittal, prompting the judge to declare a mistrial and giving prosecutors 30 days to decide on a potential fourth trial. Weinstein, already serving a 16-year California sentence from his 2022 conviction that remains under appeal, faces limited upside for additional consecutive time given his age, documented health issues, and the precedent of hung juries in prior proceedings. With no immediate sentencing dates on the horizon and ongoing appeals, the market reflects strong consensus that further incarceration beyond existing terms is unlikely to materialize.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
交易量
$987,079结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s New York rape retrial has sharply lifted trader confidence in a “No Prison Time” outcome, now implied at 79.3 percent. After three days of deliberations, the jury deadlocked 9-3 in favor of acquittal, prompting the judge to declare a mistrial and giving prosecutors 30 days to decide on a potential fourth trial. Weinstein, already serving a 16-year California sentence from his 2022 conviction that remains under appeal, faces limited upside for additional consecutive time given his age, documented health issues, and the precedent of hung juries in prior proceedings. With no immediate sentencing dates on the horizon and ongoing appeals, the market reflects strong consensus that further incarceration beyond existing terms is unlikely to materialize.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$987,079结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s New York rape retrial has sharply lifted trader confidence in a “No Prison Time” outcome, now implied at 79.3 percent. After three days of deliberations, the jury deadlocked 9-3 in favor of acquittal, prompting the judge to declare a mistrial and giving prosecutors 30 days to decide on a potential fourth trial. Weinstein, already serving a 16-year California sentence from his 2022 conviction that remains under appeal, faces limited upside for additional consecutive time given his age, documented health issues, and the precedent of hung juries in prior proceedings. With no immediate sentencing dates on the horizon and ongoing appeals, the market reflects strong consensus that further incarceration beyond existing terms is unlikely to materialize.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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