Recent short-range model consensus from major centers shows Ankara under persistent high pressure with clear skies and light winds on July 27, promoting strong daytime radiative heating over the Anatolian plateau. This setup favors afternoon maxima centered near 27–28 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering at those two outcomes and typical July climatology of 28–30 °C highs. Minor differences in forecast timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, or slight variations in steering flow create the narrow spread between 27 °C and 28 °C probabilities. Upcoming 48-hour model updates from ECMWF and GFS will likely tighten resolution criteria around official Turkish Meteorological Service observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月27日安卡拉的最高温度?
27°C 42%
28°C 37%
26°C 14%
29°C 13%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
14%
27°C
42%
28°C
37%
29°C
13%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
4%
27°C 42%
28°C 37%
26°C 14%
29°C 13%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
14%
27°C
42%
28°C
37%
29°C
13%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range model consensus from major centers shows Ankara under persistent high pressure with clear skies and light winds on July 27, promoting strong daytime radiative heating over the Anatolian plateau. This setup favors afternoon maxima centered near 27–28 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering at those two outcomes and typical July climatology of 28–30 °C highs. Minor differences in forecast timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, or slight variations in steering flow create the narrow spread between 27 °C and 28 °C probabilities. Upcoming 48-hour model updates from ECMWF and GFS will likely tighten resolution criteria around official Turkish Meteorological Service observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题