Persistent summer heat across the Front Range, driven by a strong upper-level ridge and above-average 500-hPa heights, underpins trader consensus around 90–93 °F for Denver’s July 28 high. National Weather Service guidance shows a 40 % chance of afternoon thunderstorms that could limit insolation and cap the peak if they develop before 3 p.m. local time, while clearer conditions would allow temperatures to reach the mid-90s. Dew-point forecasts near 50 °F and light northeast winds further modulate boundary-layer mixing, keeping model spreads narrow. Historical July averages near 95 °F and recent heat-advisory conditions reinforce the market-implied range, with resolution hinging on the timing of convective initiation per NWS updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月28日丹佛的最高温度?
90-91°F 30%
92-93°F 29%
88-89°F 18%
86-87°F 11%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
30%
92-93°F
29%
94-95°F
9%
96°F or higher
3%
90-91°F 30%
92-93°F 29%
88-89°F 18%
86-87°F 11%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
30%
92-93°F
29%
94-95°F
9%
96°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 26, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent summer heat across the Front Range, driven by a strong upper-level ridge and above-average 500-hPa heights, underpins trader consensus around 90–93 °F for Denver’s July 28 high. National Weather Service guidance shows a 40 % chance of afternoon thunderstorms that could limit insolation and cap the peak if they develop before 3 p.m. local time, while clearer conditions would allow temperatures to reach the mid-90s. Dew-point forecasts near 50 °F and light northeast winds further modulate boundary-layer mixing, keeping model spreads narrow. Historical July averages near 95 °F and recent heat-advisory conditions reinforce the market-implied range, with resolution hinging on the timing of convective initiation per NWS updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题