Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum near 24°C for Tokyo on July 29 under mostly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers, aligning with seasonal July norms of 22–25°C overnight lows. Trader consensus clusters around 22–25°C because short-range model runs show modest sensitivity to cloud cover and humidity levels, which can suppress radiative cooling by 1–2°C, while any clearer intervals or reduced moisture might allow temperatures to dip toward 21–22°C. Historical JMA data confirm typical variability of ±2°C around the mean, and updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of the 29th.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月29日东京最低气温？
7月29日东京最低气温？
24°C 36%
25°C 35%
29°C 26%
28°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-07-29
20°C or below
2%
21°C
11%
22°C
13%
23°C
9%
24°C
36%
25°C
35%
26°C
14%
27°C
6%
28°C
25%
29°C
26%
30°C or higher
1%
24°C 36%
25°C 35%
29°C 26%
28°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-07-29
20°C or below
$32 交易量
2%
21°C
$31 交易量
11%
22°C
$25 交易量
13%
23°C
$106 交易量
9%
24°C
$101 交易量
36%
25°C
$91 交易量
35%
26°C
$33 交易量
14%
27°C
$15 交易量
6%
28°C
$10 交易量
25%
29°C
$10 交易量
26%
30°C or higher
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum near 24°C for Tokyo on July 29 under mostly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers, aligning with seasonal July norms of 22–25°C overnight lows. Trader consensus clusters around 22–25°C because short-range model runs show modest sensitivity to cloud cover and humidity levels, which can suppress radiative cooling by 1–2°C, while any clearer intervals or reduced moisture might allow temperatures to dip toward 21–22°C. Historical JMA data confirm typical variability of ±2°C around the mean, and updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of the 29th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$458结束日期
2026-07-29市场开放时间
Jul 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum near 24°C for Tokyo on July 29 under mostly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers, aligning with seasonal July norms of 22–25°C overnight lows. Trader consensus clusters around 22–25°C because short-range model runs show modest sensitivity to cloud cover and humidity levels, which can suppress radiative cooling by 1–2°C, while any clearer intervals or reduced moisture might allow temperatures to dip toward 21–22°C. Historical JMA data confirm typical variability of ±2°C around the mean, and updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of the 29th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$458结束日期
2026-07-29市场开放时间
Jul 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum near 24°C for Tokyo on July 29 under mostly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers, aligning with seasonal July norms of 22–25°C overnight lows. Trader consensus clusters around 22–25°C because short-range model runs show modest sensitivity to cloud cover and humidity levels, which can suppress radiative cooling by 1–2°C, while any clearer intervals or reduced moisture might allow temperatures to dip toward 21–22°C. Historical JMA data confirm typical variability of ±2°C around the mean, and updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of the 29th.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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