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Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 22?

icon for Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 22?

Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 22?

25°C 38%

26°C 30%

24°C 16%

27°C 14%

Polymarket
最新

25°C 38%

26°C 30%

24°C 16%

27°C 14%

Polymarket
最新

21°C or below

$15 交易量

1%

22°C

$0 交易量

2%

23°C

$0 交易量

8%

24°C

$58 交易量

16%

25°C

$250 交易量

38%

26°C

$0 交易量

30%

27°C

$3 交易量

14%

28°C

$0 交易量

12%

29°C

$29 交易量

2%

30°C

$31 交易量

1%

31°C or higher

$37 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com and Weather25 indicate a likely daily maximum of 27–28°C (roughly 81–83°F) for Istanbul on June 22 under sunny skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk. This aligns with typical late-June climatology of 26–28°C highs, though model consensus shows modest spread due to subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and potential weak sea-breeze effects from the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea that could cap peaks near 25–26°C. Trader sentiment clustering around the 25°C (35.5%) and 26°C (30%) brackets reflects this narrow uncertainty band two days out, with lower probabilities assigned to 27°C+ outcomes amid historical precedent for occasional moderation by maritime air. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance on June 21 will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$423
结束日期
2026-06-22
市场开放时间
Jun 20, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com and Weather25 indicate a likely daily maximum of 27–28°C (roughly 81–83°F) for Istanbul on June 22 under sunny skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk. This aligns with typical late-June climatology of 26–28°C highs, though model consensus shows modest spread due to subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and potential weak sea-breeze effects from the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea that could cap peaks near 25–26°C. Trader sentiment clustering around the 25°C (35.5%) and 26°C (30%) brackets reflects this narrow uncertainty band two days out, with lower probabilities assigned to 27°C+ outcomes amid historical precedent for occasional moderation by maritime air. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance on June 21 will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$423
结束日期
2026-06-22
市场开放时间
Jun 20, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 22?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"25°C",概率为 38%,其次是"26°C",概率为 30%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 38¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 38%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 22?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jun 20, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 22?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 22?"的当前领先者是"25°C",概率为 38%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 38%。紧随其后的结果是"26°C",概率为 30%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 22?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。