Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate variable atmospheric conditions over Chengdu in the coming days, with a mix of cloud cover, humidity near 70-80%, and potential isolated thunderstorms moderating peak heating. These factors create tight clustering around 28–30°C highs, as daytime solar radiation and regional monsoon moisture balance against cooling from precipitation and reduced insolation. Subtle model differences in storm timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the narrow spread among leading outcomes, while historical June averages near 29°C provide a baseline tempered by current synoptic patterns. Updated runs ahead of June 20 will likely refine the precise maximum recorded at official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月20日成都气温最高?
29°C 29%
28°C 19%
30°C 16%
27°C 12%
24°C或以下
3%
25°C
3%
26°C
11%
27°C
12%
28°C
19%
29°C
20%
30°C
16%
31°C
9%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C或更高
1%
29°C 29%
28°C 19%
30°C 16%
27°C 12%
24°C或以下
3%
25°C
3%
26°C
11%
27°C
12%
28°C
19%
29°C
20%
30°C
16%
31°C
9%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate variable atmospheric conditions over Chengdu in the coming days, with a mix of cloud cover, humidity near 70-80%, and potential isolated thunderstorms moderating peak heating. These factors create tight clustering around 28–30°C highs, as daytime solar radiation and regional monsoon moisture balance against cooling from precipitation and reduced insolation. Subtle model differences in storm timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the narrow spread among leading outcomes, while historical June averages near 29°C provide a baseline tempered by current synoptic patterns. Updated runs ahead of June 20 will likely refine the precise maximum recorded at official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题