Short-range forecasts from agencies like the Met Office indicate a peak temperature near 32°C in Munich on June 20, driven by warm southerly flow and clear-sky conditions under a high-pressure ridge, positioning this as the leading market outcome at 38.5% implied probability. Ensemble models show consensus around 31–33°C, well above the June climatological average of roughly 22°C, with limited spread reflecting high confidence in short-term guidance two days out. Recent model runs have stabilized without major downward revisions, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh this against typical summer variability and resolution based on official station readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Munich on June 20?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 20?
32°C 33%
31°C 26%
33°C 20%
30°C or below 18%
最新
最新
2026-06-20
30°C or below
23%
31°C
26%
32°C
33%
33°C
20%
34°C
8%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
32°C 33%
31°C 26%
33°C 20%
30°C or below 18%
最新
最新
2026-06-20
30°C or below
$79 交易量
23%
31°C
$60 交易量
26%
32°C
$64 交易量
33%
33°C
$0 交易量
20%
34°C
$21 交易量
8%
35°C
$10 交易量
2%
36°C
$5 交易量
<1%
37°C
$5 交易量
<1%
38°C
$5 交易量
<1%
39°C
$5 交易量
<1%
40°C or higher
$165 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from agencies like the Met Office indicate a peak temperature near 32°C in Munich on June 20, driven by warm southerly flow and clear-sky conditions under a high-pressure ridge, positioning this as the leading market outcome at 38.5% implied probability. Ensemble models show consensus around 31–33°C, well above the June climatological average of roughly 22°C, with limited spread reflecting high confidence in short-term guidance two days out. Recent model runs have stabilized without major downward revisions, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh this against typical summer variability and resolution based on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$418结束日期
2026-06-20市场开放时间
Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from agencies like the Met Office indicate a peak temperature near 32°C in Munich on June 20, driven by warm southerly flow and clear-sky conditions under a high-pressure ridge, positioning this as the leading market outcome at 38.5% implied probability. Ensemble models show consensus around 31–33°C, well above the June climatological average of roughly 22°C, with limited spread reflecting high confidence in short-term guidance two days out. Recent model runs have stabilized without major downward revisions, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh this against typical summer variability and resolution based on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$418结束日期
2026-06-20市场开放时间
Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETShort-range forecasts from agencies like the Met Office indicate a peak temperature near 32°C in Munich on June 20, driven by warm southerly flow and clear-sky conditions under a high-pressure ridge, positioning this as the leading market outcome at 38.5% implied probability. Ensemble models show consensus around 31–33°C, well above the June climatological average of roughly 22°C, with limited spread reflecting high confidence in short-term guidance two days out. Recent model runs have stabilized without major downward revisions, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh this against typical summer variability and resolution based on official station readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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