Trader consensus centers on 34–35°C as the most likely daily maximum for Karachi on June 20, reflecting climatological norms where June highs average 34–35°C amid moderating sea breezes from the Arabian Sea. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department observations show mid-June readings stabilizing near 34–36°C after an earlier peak of 40°C on June 11, with minimal precipitation and typical humidity patterns supporting these outcomes. Model guidance and historical analogs indicate low likelihood of significant intensification or cooling before resolution, as steering patterns and land-sea thermal contrasts favor near-average conditions rather than extremes. Market-implied probabilities thus aggregate trader assessments of these stable atmospheric drivers ahead of the final forecast updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Karachi on June 20?
34°C 43%
35°C 27%
36°C 13%
33°C 9%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
9%
34°C
43%
35°C
27%
36°C
13%
37°C
6%
38°C
4%
39°C
1%
40°C或更高
1%
34°C 43%
35°C 27%
36°C 13%
33°C 9%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
9%
34°C
43%
35°C
27%
36°C
13%
37°C
6%
38°C
4%
39°C
1%
40°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 18, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus centers on 34–35°C as the most likely daily maximum for Karachi on June 20, reflecting climatological norms where June highs average 34–35°C amid moderating sea breezes from the Arabian Sea. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department observations show mid-June readings stabilizing near 34–36°C after an earlier peak of 40°C on June 11, with minimal precipitation and typical humidity patterns supporting these outcomes. Model guidance and historical analogs indicate low likelihood of significant intensification or cooling before resolution, as steering patterns and land-sea thermal contrasts favor near-average conditions rather than extremes. Market-implied probabilities thus aggregate trader assessments of these stable atmospheric drivers ahead of the final forecast updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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