Traders see the 34°C and 35°C brackets as nearly equally likely for Karachi’s June 19 peak because recent Pakistan Meteorological Department observations and model guidance place daytime maxima in the mid-30s amid typical early-summer conditions. Persistent high humidity, light winds, and urban heat-island effects have kept recent daily highs between 33–36 °C, while the moderating Arabian Sea breeze and possible thin cloud cover introduce enough variability to split probability almost evenly. Official forecasts emphasize that small changes in insolation or sea-breeze timing can shift the recorded maximum by 1 °C, leaving both outcomes inside the narrow uncertainty range of current numerical weather prediction ensembles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Karachi on June 19?
34°C 37%
35°C 35%
36°C 13%
33°C 10%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
10%
34°C
37%
35°C
35%
36°C
13%
37°C
8%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 37%
35°C 35%
36°C 13%
33°C 10%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
10%
34°C
37%
35°C
35%
36°C
13%
37°C
8%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 17, 2026, 2:51 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders see the 34°C and 35°C brackets as nearly equally likely for Karachi’s June 19 peak because recent Pakistan Meteorological Department observations and model guidance place daytime maxima in the mid-30s amid typical early-summer conditions. Persistent high humidity, light winds, and urban heat-island effects have kept recent daily highs between 33–36 °C, while the moderating Arabian Sea breeze and possible thin cloud cover introduce enough variability to split probability almost evenly. Official forecasts emphasize that small changes in insolation or sea-breeze timing can shift the recorded maximum by 1 °C, leaving both outcomes inside the narrow uncertainty range of current numerical weather prediction ensembles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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