**Trader sentiment for Shanghai's June 18 daily maximum centers on the latest forecast models showing persistent overcast skies and isolated thunderstorms, which limit solar heating and keep the peak near 27–28°C.** These conditions suppress daytime temperature rise compared with clearer scenarios, aligning with typical June averages of 27–30°C under humid, plum-rain-influenced patterns. The close spread between 27°C (41.5%) and 28°C (32.5%) reflects uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of any brief cloud breaks or light rain, which can shift the recorded high by 1°C. Official readings from the China Meteorological Administration station network will determine resolution, with traders weighting recent model consensus over longer-term climatology.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 18?
27°C 49%
28°C 28%
26°C 16.7%
29°C 4.5%
$69,481 交易量
$69,481 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
17%
27°C
49%
28°C
28%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
27°C 49%
28°C 28%
26°C 16.7%
29°C 4.5%
$69,481 交易量
$69,481 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
17%
27°C
49%
28°C
28%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment for Shanghai's June 18 daily maximum centers on the latest forecast models showing persistent overcast skies and isolated thunderstorms, which limit solar heating and keep the peak near 27–28°C.** These conditions suppress daytime temperature rise compared with clearer scenarios, aligning with typical June averages of 27–30°C under humid, plum-rain-influenced patterns. The close spread between 27°C (41.5%) and 28°C (32.5%) reflects uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of any brief cloud breaks or light rain, which can shift the recorded high by 1°C. Official readings from the China Meteorological Administration station network will determine resolution, with traders weighting recent model consensus over longer-term climatology.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题