Recent forecasts from models and INMET monitoring place São Paulo’s June 19 maximum near 23–25 °C under typical austral-winter conditions, with market-implied odds clustering tightly on 24 °C (33.5 %) and 25 °C (29.5 %). The city’s 760 m elevation and shorter winter daylight limit daytime heating, while recent cold-front passages earlier in June have maintained below-normal temperatures and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on the exact timing of any residual frontal moisture, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects captured by official INMET stations; stronger insolation or clearer skies would favor the upper end of the range, whereas lingering low-level stratus would cap readings closer to 23 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月19日圣保罗的最高温度?
24°C 37%
25°C 30%
23°C 18%
22°C 6%
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
18%
24°C
37%
25°C
30%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C或更高
1%
24°C 37%
25°C 30%
23°C 18%
22°C 6%
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
18%
24°C
37%
25°C
30%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 17, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from models and INMET monitoring place São Paulo’s June 19 maximum near 23–25 °C under typical austral-winter conditions, with market-implied odds clustering tightly on 24 °C (33.5 %) and 25 °C (29.5 %). The city’s 760 m elevation and shorter winter daylight limit daytime heating, while recent cold-front passages earlier in June have maintained below-normal temperatures and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on the exact timing of any residual frontal moisture, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects captured by official INMET stations; stronger insolation or clearer skies would favor the upper end of the range, whereas lingering low-level stratus would cap readings closer to 23 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题