Recent forecasts for Wuhan on June 18, 2026, show daytime highs clustering around 29–31°C amid rising seasonal warmth in the region’s humid subtropical climate, with BBC guidance citing a 31°C peak under thundery showers and other models indicating 29–30°C. This narrow spread, combined with variables such as cloud cover, localized precipitation timing, humidity levels near 60%, and steering patterns from the East Asian monsoon, creates genuine forecast uncertainty that supports closely matched market-implied odds for those three outcomes. Historical June averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet short-term model divergence on exact maxima—driven by evolving atmospheric moisture and wind shifts—keeps probabilities distributed rather than concentrated. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration are expected to refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily high measurement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月18日武汉气温最高?
29°C 29%
30°C 27%
31°C 27%
32°C 10%
$37,461 交易量
$37,461 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
8%
29°C
29%
30°C
27%
31°C
27%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
29°C 29%
30°C 27%
31°C 27%
32°C 10%
$37,461 交易量
$37,461 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
8%
29°C
29%
30°C
27%
31°C
27%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Wuhan on June 18, 2026, show daytime highs clustering around 29–31°C amid rising seasonal warmth in the region’s humid subtropical climate, with BBC guidance citing a 31°C peak under thundery showers and other models indicating 29–30°C. This narrow spread, combined with variables such as cloud cover, localized precipitation timing, humidity levels near 60%, and steering patterns from the East Asian monsoon, creates genuine forecast uncertainty that supports closely matched market-implied odds for those three outcomes. Historical June averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet short-term model divergence on exact maxima—driven by evolving atmospheric moisture and wind shifts—keeps probabilities distributed rather than concentrated. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration are expected to refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily high measurement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题