Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Mexico City on June 19 centers on seasonal norms around 24°C amid the onset of the rainy season, with model guidance showing highs near 23–26°C at 2,240 meters elevation where afternoon convection often caps peaks. Recent mid-June observations, including daily maxima of 23–28°C, align with long-term June averages of roughly 24–25°C, while an emerging El Niño pattern supports slightly above-normal warmth across the region without strong localized extremes. Key variables include cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress highs by 2–3°C, versus clearer conditions favoring the upper 20s; short-range forecast updates from agencies like Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine these probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于墨西哥城6月19日的最高温度?
24°C 30%
23°C 20%
25°C 15%
22°C 11%
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
6%
22°C
11%
23°C
20%
24°C
30%
25°C
15%
26°C
10%
27°C
4%
28°C或更高
2%
24°C 30%
23°C 20%
25°C 15%
22°C 11%
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
6%
22°C
11%
23°C
20%
24°C
30%
25°C
15%
26°C
10%
27°C
4%
28°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Mexico City on June 19 centers on seasonal norms around 24°C amid the onset of the rainy season, with model guidance showing highs near 23–26°C at 2,240 meters elevation where afternoon convection often caps peaks. Recent mid-June observations, including daily maxima of 23–28°C, align with long-term June averages of roughly 24–25°C, while an emerging El Niño pattern supports slightly above-normal warmth across the region without strong localized extremes. Key variables include cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress highs by 2–3°C, versus clearer conditions favoring the upper 20s; short-range forecast updates from agencies like Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine these probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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